/r/CFB Poll

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	2.871 [11.8 - 0.2]
2	Indiana Hoosiers	2.796 [11.8 - 0.2]
3	Texas A&M Aggies	2.166 [10.8 - 1.2]
4	Georgia Bulldogs	2.145 [10.1 - 1.9]
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	2.130 [10.3 - 1.7]
6	Ole Miss Rebels	2.024 [10.5 - 1.5]
7	Texas Longhorns	1.890 [8.8 - 3.2]
8	BYU Cougars	1.889 [10.6 - 1.4]
9	Oregon Ducks	1.710 [10.2 - 1.8]
10	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1.703 [10.4 - 1.6]
11	Oklahoma Sooners	1.680 [8.5 - 3.5]
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	1.551 [8.9 - 3.1]
13	Utah Utes	1.482 [9.5 - 2.5]
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.474 [9.7 - 2.3]
15	Missouri Tigers	1.375 [8.2 - 3.8]
16	Tennessee Volunteers	1.356 [8.2 - 3.8]
17	Miami Hurricanes	1.341 [9.3 - 2.7]
18	Louisville Cardinals	1.273 [9.9 - 2.1]
19	LSU Tigers	1.237 [7.3 - 4.7]
20	Michigan Wolverines	1.214 [8.7 - 3.3]
21	USC Trojans	1.191 [8.7 - 3.3]
22	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	1.141 [9.5 - 2.5]
23	Virginia Cavaliers	1.136 [10.0 - 2.0]
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	1.134 [8.3 - 3.7]
25	Washington Huskies	1.132 [8.8 - 3.2]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
2	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
3	Texas A&M Aggies	0.00
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0.54
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
6	Ole Miss Rebels	0.02
7	Texas Longhorns	1.36
8	BYU Cougars	0.00
9	Oregon Ducks	0.00
10	Texas Tech Red Raiders	0.00
11	Oklahoma Sooners	0.37
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	0.88
13	Utah Utes	0.00
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
15	Missouri Tigers	0.76
16	Tennessee Volunteers	4.00
17	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
18	Louisville Cardinals	-0.77
19	LSU Tigers	6.09
20	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
21	USC Trojans	0.00
22	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-0.99
23	Virginia Cavaliers	-1.97
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	0.86
25	Washington Huskies	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Memphis Tigers	0.49
Iowa Hawkeyes	0.17
North Texas Mean Green	0.00

Total Score: 19.27

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NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2025 Week 11

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