Back to poll results >>

BeyondLiesTheWub Ballot for 2025 Week 6

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Sept. 29, 2025, 7:17 p.m.

Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). The only manual replacements I made were removing USC and TCU for Iowa and Florida State (the first teams out).

Rank Team Reason
1 Indiana Hoosiers +7, having watched the Iowa game I don't agree with this but I'll leave it for now. They are a good team.
2 Oregon Ducks -1
3 Ohio State Buckeyes +1
4 Ole Miss Rebels -1
5 Alabama Crimson Tide +4
6 Miami Hurricanes no change
7 Tennessee Volunteers +1
8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish +2
9 Georgia Bulldogs -5
10 Penn State Nittany Lions -9
11 Texas Longhorns +1
12 Michigan Wolverines +1
13 Texas Tech Red Raiders +2
14 Missouri Tigers -3
15 Texas A&M Aggies -1
16 Vanderbilt Commodores no change
17 Oklahoma Sooners +2, still think they're underrated by the model
18 Louisville Cardinals +6
19 BYU Cougars +5
20 Memphis Tigers +19
21 James Madison Dukes +4
22 Utah Utes +7
23 Nebraska Cornhuskers -3
24 Iowa Hawkeyes -5, a bit unfair as a healthy Gronowski might've beaten Indiana. This is the best Iowa offense in probably a decade, even though the defense has regressed a bit.
25 Florida State Seminoles +1

Back to poll results >>