Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 30, 2025, 8:18 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Had to rewrite my poll from scratch this season and I it's not performing exactly as it did previously, which I am still troubleshooting, but results are somewhat in line with what I expect from this poll. Delayed submitting a poll until I got the performance closer to where it used to be. Anyway, methodology: Each game, the winning team "steals" a portion of their opponents points. This starts with a base 40% of opponent's points, plus up to 1% bonus based on margin of victory and home/away status. This 40% base decreases as the weeks go on (down to 17.5% by postseason), this is done to limit large swings as the season progresses. The season is ran both forwards and backwards (For example on week 10, the poll calculates weeks 1->10 and then weeks 10->1) and then averages those. This limits being destroyed by a week 1 loss, etc. Ranking is done by poll points per game (to not punish the Bye week so heavily earlier in season). Starting points are assigned as follows: P5: 500, G5: 400, FCS: 200. The goal of this poll is to (mostly) treat P5 and G5 the same, and rank deserving teams. G5 is punished slightly in the pre-season calculations (20% less points), and even less in current season (~10% less than P5). This is ranking the most "deserving" teams and not an attempt to rank the "best" teams or to be predictive. For example, being ranked above another team does not imply you are the better team or should beat a lower team, just that you had better performance in your season.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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1573 |
2 |
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1136 |
3 |
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1106 |
4 |
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1094 |
5 |
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1094 |
6 |
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1090 |
7 |
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1031 |
8 |
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997 |
9 |
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961 |
10 |
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932 |
11 |
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931 |
12 |
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918 |
13 |
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904 |
14 |
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855 |
15 |
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841 |
16 |
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838 |
17 |
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826 |
18 |
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816 |
19 |
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786 |
20 |
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765 |
21 |
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761 |
22 |
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758 |
23 |
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742 |
24 |
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691 |
25 |
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680. Next 5: USC, UNLV, Fresno State, Virginia, Louisiana Tech |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.94 |
2 |
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0.66 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.04 |
5 |
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-0.40 |
6 |
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0.51 |
7 |
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0.50 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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0.57 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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-1.54 |
12 |
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3.39 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.00 |
15 |
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3.36 |
16 |
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2.61 |
17 |
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0.66 |
18 |
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0.48 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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0.02 |
21 |
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1.93 |
22 |
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0.37 |
23 |
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-0.85 |
24 |
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-0.16 |
25 |
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0.16 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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1.26 |
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1.64 |
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0.91 |
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1.02 |
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0.86 |
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0.08 |
Total Score: 24.89