Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 28, 2025, 3:32 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Wins and losses are weighted by the difference in "rank" between the winner/loser and the median team. Scaled such that beating strong teams matters more than beating weak teams, and losing to bad teams is worse than losing to strong teams. Winning is weighted slightly more than losing, and by the preceding two years' performance. Results are scaled by offensive and defensive points per drive efficiencies, and strength of schedule determined by opponents score normalized throughout the season. Preseason rankings are weighted by returning production, talent composite, and previous season(s)' success. Next five out: North Texas, USF, Michigan, Memphis, Washington
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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Massive win for the Ducks! A well earned BYE is next and then a massive game against Indiana. |
2 |
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The Ohio State redzone defense is absurdly good. Completely neutralized an excellent Washington offense. |
3 |
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Fantastic win for the Rebels over LSU. What's amazing is that the advanced stats think Ole Miss should have won by even more. |
4 |
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A&M completely controlled the game against Auburn, but only won by a single score. Aggies have a lot to work on, but that's a great thing for a team that's earned a deserved 4-0 record. |
5 |
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On BYE this week with an intriguing matchup against Florida State looming. |
6 |
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It was ugly, but the Yellow Jackets are 5-0 with a reeling Virginia Tech up next. This team is gritty and exceptionally fun to watch. |
7 |
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Tough loss at Ole Miss. The Tigers don't drop much in the rankings and can enjoy a BYE week next, but then face a very tough five games after that. |
8 |
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Two consecutive 27-24 wins over solid Big 12 teams has the Sun Devils surging in these rankings. A BYE week awaits and then a classic Pac-12 matchup with Utah. |
9 |
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Is this ranking deserved for the 'Dores? Probably a bit high, but we live in a world where both Vanderbilt and Georgia Tech are 5-0 and I'm OK with that. |
10 |
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The Crimson Tide held on for a huge win over Georgia! DeBoer just seems to know how to win big games. Is revenge on the menu next week with Vanderbilt coming to town? |
11 |
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After vaporizing the Illini, the Hoosiers fell into a classic Iowa trap game at Kinnick. Indiana managed to grind out a solid win on the road. BYE week next before traveling to Eugene for a massive game against Oregon. |
12 |
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The Trojans lost a heartbreaker to Illinois on the road. Weird schedule for USC with an 8pm and then 9am PST starts, but that's what the Trojans signed up for when leaving the Pac-12. BYE week is next and then Michigan comes to Los Angeles. |
13 |
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On BYE this week and another BYE (Kent State) next week... Red River looms in two weeks. |
14 |
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Unfortunately, the Bulldogs are again on the losing side of an epic game against Alabama. Good luck to Kentucky next week... |
15 |
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Solid win for the Cyclones over a much-improved Arizona team. Interesting game at Cincinnati next who looks much better than last year. |
16 |
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Good win for the Cougars over Colorado. Closer than you would have expected, but good road win for BYU. |
17 |
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Whipped UMass, so had to take anything meaningful from this. At 5-0 the Tigers are looking good, but a week SOS is holding them back. |
18 |
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Red Raiders were on BYE after throttling Utah. They travel to Houston next. |
19 |
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Really tough loss for the Nittany Lions... Drew Allar just doesn't seem to have any clutch in him, but this is still a really good team. They are being punished in these rankings for having no wins over top 100 teams and that trend will continue next when Penn State travels to Los Angeles to play a horrific UCLA squad. |
20 |
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Good win for the Cardinals in a weird game against Pitt. A very interesting matchup next with a surging Virginia coming to town. |
21 |
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On BYE this week, which is probably a really good thing for the Longhorns. They need to lock-in as SEC play begins in full with a road trip to the Swamp. |
22 |
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Closer than you would have liked for the Vols against Mississippi State, but a good SEC road win nonetheless. A BYE week is up next for Tennessee. |
23 |
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Tough loss for the Horned Frogs on the road at Arizona State. |
24 |
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Great bounce-back win for the Illini against USC after being obliterated by Indiana. |
25 |
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Two promising wins in a row for the Irish. The competition has been significantly easier than the first two games of the season, but the offense looks much better. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.11 |
4 |
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0.27 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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1.18 |
7 |
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1.52 |
8 |
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4.80 |
9 |
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0.08 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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-1.06 |
12 |
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6.17 |
13 |
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-1.16 |
14 |
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0.00 |
15 |
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-0.02 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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-0.93 |
19 |
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-0.12 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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-0.09 |
22 |
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-0.59 |
23 |
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2.03 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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0.86 |
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0.65 |
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0.03 |
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0.08 |
Total Score: 21.74