Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Aug. 18, 2025, 5:05 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Pre-season is always very hard to judge, it's hard to find a good balance between last year's performances, retention, transfers, freshmen classes and player development. For the most part I went with the teams I felt had the highest floors, with a few exceptions for some heavy transfer teams (Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Memphis) who I think brought in the right talent to be worthwhile and some teams that I strongly believe will have resurgences after down years (Utah, Washington). Penn State is the one team in the nation that doesn't really seem vulnerable to a potential let down. Maybe a couple other teams could punch higher, but they're the only team I look at and say I'm 100% confident they make the playoffs. I almost put Clemson in the 2 spot, but ultimately had more respect for Ohio State's consistency/status as reigning national champion even though their turnover makes me question them as a number 1. I may have underrated a few teams like Indiana and Ole Miss (plus Michigan and Tennessee who I left off), who I could easily see have much stronger seasons then some of the teams above them, but feel very vulnerable to me for a total collapse, that ultimately I find more likely, than their similar quality peers. Those last few spots are the hardest, I gave decent consideration to quite a few other schools, but I feel satisfied with my picks.
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.46 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.08 |
| 4 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.27 |
| 6 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
0.28 |
| 9 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.93 |
| 10 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
2.45 |
| 12 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
0.43 |
| 15 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.55 |
| 18 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
4.81 |
| 19 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Utah Utes
|
2.45 |
| 21 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Washington Huskies
|
3.13 |
| 23 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-0.12 |
| 24 |
Memphis Tigers
|
0.92 |
| 25 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-0.61 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.97 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.35 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.45 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.20 |
Total Score: 19.49