Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Aug. 18, 2025, 5:05 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Pre-season is always very hard to judge, it's hard to find a good balance between last year's performances, retention, transfers, freshmen classes and player development. For the most part I went with the teams I felt had the highest floors, with a few exceptions for some heavy transfer teams (Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Memphis) who I think brought in the right talent to be worthwhile and some teams that I strongly believe will have resurgences after down years (Utah, Washington). Penn State is the one team in the nation that doesn't really seem vulnerable to a potential let down. Maybe a couple other teams could punch higher, but they're the only team I look at and say I'm 100% confident they make the playoffs. I almost put Clemson in the 2 spot, but ultimately had more respect for Ohio State's consistency/status as reigning national champion even though their turnover makes me question them as a number 1. I may have underrated a few teams like Indiana and Ole Miss (plus Michigan and Tennessee who I left off), who I could easily see have much stronger seasons then some of the teams above them, but feel very vulnerable to me for a total collapse, that ultimately I find more likely, than their similar quality peers. Those last few spots are the hardest, I gave decent consideration to quite a few other schools, but I feel satisfied with my picks.
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.46 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.08 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.27 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.28 |
9 |
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-0.93 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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2.45 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.43 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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0.55 |
18 |
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4.81 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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2.45 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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3.13 |
23 |
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-0.12 |
24 |
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0.92 |
25 |
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-0.61 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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0.97 |
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0.35 |
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0.45 |
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0.20 |
Total Score: 19.49