Nath0leon Ballot for 2024 Final
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Jan. 22, 2025, 2:11 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I use a self-created metric I dub "Quality Score" to measure how good each win is (or how bad each loss is) for each game, taking into account opponent strength (from ESPN's FPI), location, margin, and adjusted margin (from Bill Connelly).
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
|
| 2 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
|
| 3 |
Texas Longhorns
|
|
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
|
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
|
| 6 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
|
| 7 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
|
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
|
| 9 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
|
| 10 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
|
| 11 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
|
| 12 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
|
| 13 |
BYU Cougars
|
|
| 14 |
SMU Mustangs
|
|
| 15 |
Florida Gators
|
Despite bad losses against elite teams (Texas, Georgia, Miami), big wins against LSU and Tulane in bowl game gave them a big boost |
| 16 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
|
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
|
| 18 |
Boise State Broncos
|
|
| 19 |
Clemson Tigers
|
|
| 20 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
Was expecting them to be higher. Had a lot of good wins (BYU at home, KSU on the road) but really their only elite result was blowing out Iowa State in the Big 12 CG, and the Cincinnati loss was pretty bad. |
| 21 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
The South Carolina loss is really bad, but thrashing Mizzou was a great win, plus wins against LSU and Florida at the Swamp. |
| 22 |
Colorado Buffaloes
|
|
| 23 |
USC Trojans
|
Yes 6 losses is bad, but each (aside from Notre Dame) was 1 possession. Early win against LSU on neutral field is a big boost. |
| 24 |
Missouri Tigers
|
|
| 25 |
Army West Point
|
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.42 |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.68 |
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-0.26 |
| 6 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
-0.68 |
| 7 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
1.06 |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
1.83 |
| 9 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
1.51 |
| 12 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
1.19 |
| 13 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
SMU Mustangs
|
-0.09 |
| 15 |
Florida Gators
|
9.83 |
| 16 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
4.02 |
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
2.92 |
| 18 |
Boise State Broncos
|
-1.97 |
| 19 |
Clemson Tigers
|
-0.31 |
| 20 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
-3.29 |
| 21 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
3.93 |
| 22 |
Colorado Buffaloes
|
1.91 |
| 23 |
USC Trojans
|
2.11 |
| 24 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Army West Point
|
-0.45 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Iowa State Cyclones
|
3.15 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
2.21 |
Syracuse Orange
|
1.11 |
UNLV Rebels
|
0.50 |
Memphis Tigers
|
0.33 |
Total Score: 45.78