Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Jan. 23, 2025, 1:06 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Final Week notes: Deservedness layer removed. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = Team A cannot be ranked over Team B that has 2+ fewer losses (ex: 9-3 LSU can be ranked over 10-2 Missouri, but 9-3 LSU cannot be ranked over 11-1 Tulane even if LSU beat Tulane heads up, rankings have LSU over Tulane, and/or I think LSU is better than Tulane) unless Team B is giving a X loss allowance to Team A due to significantly fewer P4 games played. Loss allowances come into play when: P5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 games, 10-8=2, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); P5 teams play 6 fewer P5 games than a G5 team (11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 teams, 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 teams, 8-2=6, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); G5 teams play 10 fewer P5 teams than a P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 10-0=0, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty); or G5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another G5 team (ex: 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 2-0=2, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty). If the game differential exceeds more than 2/6/10/2 in those scenarios, add another loss allowance for each additional P5 game played difference in that scenario.
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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+2. Ranked wins: Indiana, Notre Dame, Oregon, Penn State, Tennessee, Texas |
2 |
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-1. Ranked wins: Boise State, Illinois, Ohio State, Penn State |
3 |
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+5. Ranked wins: Indiana, Louisville, Penn State |
4 |
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+0. Ranked wins: Boise State, Illinois, SMU |
5 |
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-3. Ranked wins: Clemson, Florida, Georgia, Texas, Texas |
6 |
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+0. Ranked wins: Arizona State, Clemson, Florida |
7 |
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+0. Ranked wins: BYU, Colorado |
8 |
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-3. |
9 |
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+5. Ranked wins: SMU |
10 |
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-1. Ranked wins: Louisville, TCU |
11 |
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-1. Ranked wins: Alabama, Florida |
12 |
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+0. Ranked wins: SMU |
13 |
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+2. |
14 |
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+2. |
15 |
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-4. Ranked wins: Florida. Louisville |
16 |
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+1. |
17 |
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+4. Ranked wins: Georgia, LSU, Missouri, South Carolina |
18 |
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+4. Ranked wins: LSU, Ole Miss |
19 |
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NEW. Ranked wins: Ole Miss, South Carolina |
20 |
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+3. Ranked wins: Georgia, South Carolina |
21 |
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+3. Ranked wins: Clemson, Missouri |
22 |
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+3. Ranked wins: Clemson |
23 |
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-5. |
24 |
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-11. |
25 |
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NEW. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.22 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.04 |
6 |
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-0.21 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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0.73 |
10 |
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0.25 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.08 |
15 |
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0.19 |
16 |
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6.93 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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6.83 |
19 |
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1.95 |
20 |
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-1.51 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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0.75 |
23 |
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2.23 |
24 |
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-3.93 |
25 |
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-0.21 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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1.11 |
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0.70 |
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0.50 |
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0.33 |
Total Score: 28.70