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BeyondLiesTheWub Ballot for 2024 Week 9

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 21, 2024, 11:39 p.m.

Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). Notes for this week: Louisville, Michigan dropped out.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes no change
2 Oregon Ducks +1
3 Georgia Bulldogs +1
4 Tennessee Volunteers +3
5 Texas Longhorns -3
6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish +3
7 Penn State Nittany Lions -1
8 Clemson Tigers -3
9 Alabama Crimson Tide -1, probably should've dropped more but I'll leave them for now until another team becomes dominant enough to override the model's top 10
10 Ole Miss Rebels no change
11 Indiana Hoosiers +8
12 LSU Tigers -1
13 Texas A&M Aggies +3
14 Miami Hurricanes -1, you can definitely argue that they're undefeated and should be in the top 10, but honestly they haven't looked that good. They're this year's Florida State imo - every week they almost lose and somehow pull away with a win against a bad team.
15 Iowa State Cyclones -1
16 Kansas State Wildcats +14
17 SMU Mustangs +8
18 Missouri Tigers +1
19 BYU Cougars -5, I might've forgotten that they almost lost but the model didn't!
20 Wisconsin Badgers +8 but manually moved down below BYU because they definitely don't deserve 16th
21 Tulane Green Wave -5, why are you still here
22 Army West Point -1
23 Boise State Broncos -5
24 Washington Huskies -2
25 South Carolina Gamecocks +8, Manually added instead of USC because USC has 4 losses

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