Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Oct. 21, 2024, 9:43 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on actual resume. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners, near lock to make playoffs Tier 2: Championship Contenders with excellent chance of making playoffs Tier 3: Decent possibility to make playoffs, unlikely to compete for championship Tier 4: Outside playoff shot Tier 5: Unlikely to make playoffs but not quite eliminated Tier 6: No shot at playoffs
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | Tier 1. Clear #1 right now |
2 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Tier 2. |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Tier 2. |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | Tier 2. Hard to know what to make of Georgia. But for now they're here. |
5 | Texas Longhorns | Tier 2. First real test and didn't exactly ace it. Still a very good team. |
6 | BYU Cougars | Tier 3. |
7 | Miami Hurricanes | Tier 3. |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | Tier 3. |
9 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Tier 3. |
10 | Texas A&M Aggies | Tier 3. |
11 | Iowa State Cyclones | Tier 3. 7-0 is nothing to sneeze at. But they've not played anyone good. |
12 | LSU Tigers | Tier 3. |
13 | Indiana Hoosiers | Tier 3. 7Windiana |
14 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Tier 3. 2 losses this early isn't great, but winning out still gets you in. |
15 | Kansas State Wildcats | Tier 4. |
16 | Clemson Tigers | Tier 4. |
17 | Pittsburgh Panthers | Tier 4. |
18 | SMU Mustangs | Tier 4. |
19 | Boise State Broncos | Tier 4. |
20 | Washington State Cougars | Tier 4. |
21 | Navy Midshipmen | Tier 4. |
22 | Army West Point | Tier 4. |
23 | Missouri Tigers | Tier 4. |
24 | Illinois Fighting Illini | Tier 4. |
25 | Syracuse Orange | Tier 4. Easy to forget that the Orange are 6-1. Head to head gives them the nod over UNLV. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
2 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
5 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
6 | BYU Cougars | 0.00 |
7 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.00 |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
9 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.23 |
10 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.71 |
11 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.00 |
12 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
13 | Indiana Hoosiers | -0.42 |
14 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.02 |
15 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.00 |
16 | Clemson Tigers | -0.16 |
17 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.00 |
18 | SMU Mustangs | 0.00 |
19 | Boise State Broncos | 0.00 |
20 | Washington State Cougars | 0.84 |
21 | Navy Midshipmen | 0.00 |
22 | Army West Point | 0.00 |
23 | Missouri Tigers | 0.00 |
24 | Illinois Fighting Illini | -0.49 |
25 | Syracuse Orange | 0.00 |