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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2024 Week 9

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 21, 2024, 10:05 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 9 notes: Deservedness keeping highly-rated 2-loss teams such as Alabama and Ole Miss behind 0-loss Navy and Army. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = Team A cannot be ranked over Team B that has 2+ fewer losses (ex: 9-3 LSU can be ranked over 10-2 Missouri, but 9-3 LSU cannot be ranked over 11-1 Tulane even if LSU beat Tulane heads up, rankings have LSU over Tulane, and/or I think LSU is better than Tulane) unless Team B is giving a X loss allowance to Team A due to significantly fewer P4 games played. Loss allowances come into play when: P5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 games, 10-8=2, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); P5 teams play 6 fewer P5 games than a G5 team (11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 teams, 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 teams, 8-2=6, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); G5 teams play 10 fewer P5 teams than a P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 10-0=0, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty); or G5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another G5 team (ex: 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 2-0=2, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty). If the game differential exceeds more than 2/6/10/2 in those scenarios, add another loss allowance for each additional P5 game played difference in that scenario.

Rank Team Reason
1 Oregon Ducks +1. Would be the #1 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #8 LSU/#9 Tennessee in the Rose Bowl
2 Ohio State Buckeyes +1. Would be the #5 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #12 Boise State in the first round
3 Penn State Nittany Lions +1. Would be the #5 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #11 Clemson in the first round
4 Miami Hurricanes +1. Would be the #2 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #7 Texas/#10 Indiana in the Peach Bowl
5 Georgia Bulldogs +2. Would be the #3 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #6 Penn State/#11 Clemson in the Sugar Bowl
6 Texas Longhorns -5. Would be the #7 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #10 Indiana in the first round
7 LSU Tigers +1. Would be the #8 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #9 Tennessee in the first round
8 Tennessee Volunteers +2. Would be the #9 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #8 LSU in the first round
9 Indiana Hoosiers +3. Would be the #10 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #7 Texas in the first round
10 BYU Cougars +1. Would be the #4 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #5 Ohio State/#12 Boise State in the Fiesta Bowl
11 Clemson Tigers -2. Would be the #11 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #6 Penn State in the first round
12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1
13 Iowa State Cyclones +1
14 Texas A&M Aggies +1
15 Kansas State Wildcats +1
16 Illinois Fighting Illini +3
17 SMU Mustangs +1
18 Missouri Tigers -1
19 Pittsburgh Panthers +1. Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Alabama and Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army
20 Boise State Broncos +2. Would be the #12 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #5 Ohio State in the first round
21 Syracuse Orange +2. Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Alabama and Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army
22 UNLV Rebels +2. Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Alabama and Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army
23 Washington State Cougars +2. Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Alabama and Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army
24 Navy Midshipmen NEW. Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Alabama and Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army
25 Memphis Tigers NEW. Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Alabama and Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army. Next 18: Duke, Army, Vanderbilt ((Deservedness loss allowances allowing eligible 2-loss teams such as Vanderbilt to be ranked ahead of 0-loss Liberty), Alabama, Nebraska, Colorado, Ole Miss, Wisconsin, Texas Tech, Cincinnati, Arizona State, Tulane, Georgia Southern, JMU, WKU, Louisiana, Louisiana-Monroe, Liberty

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