Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 3, 2024, 12:18 p.m.
Overall Rationale: This is a computer poll that doesn't take into account MOV and uses preseason weights, so this first week will be a bit wonky This was the best week 1 in recent memory btw
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | (0) Georgia pantses Clemson and safely secures the #1 spot. If it were a human poll, I'd rank them #1 too. |
2 | USC Trojans | (+19) A hell of a win against LSU. According to the model, the best win this week, but preseason weights but Georgia above. Everyone made fun of Lincoln Riley until he figured out this defense thing, and now it's not so funny. Moss looks the real deal. |
3 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | (+5) A great win against A&M on the road. That defense is terrifying. |
4 | Penn State Nittany Lions | (+3) Great win against WVU. I made fun of Allar several times last season but he looked legit here against what I think is a pretty solid West Virginia team. |
5 | Miami Hurricanes | (+11) Miami just dad-dicked Florida at the Swamp. Although UF's preseason rating may be overrated (top 40) the MOV I believe makes this a fine place. The ACC is Miami's to lose. |
6 | Michigan Wolverines | (+3) Very anemic win. Still goes up since Fresno State is entered as one of the better G5 teams preseason |
7 | Alabama Crimson Tide | (-2) Alabama/Texas/Ohio State switch around due to slight differences in quality of cupcake opponent. |
8 | Texas Longhorns | (-4) Great win for my longhorns. Looked like a complete game |
9 | Ohio State Buckeyes | (-7) |
10 | North Carolina Tar Heels | (+34) Because of the average quality of the P4 teams' opponents this week, wins against P4 or even G5 teams will be rewarded by the model. Case in point here. |
11 | Boston College Eagles | (+48) Ouch, FSU. Because of preseason weights, the model really values BC's and GT's wins here, although it may not be as impressive as it seems. |
12 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | (+41) The model thins out (although not entirely) extra wins earlier to avoid 2-0 teams in week 1 taking all top spots, slightly averaging out the quality of the two wins. This is why BC is ahead of GT (GT slightly averages the scores between GASO and FSU) |
13 | Oklahoma Sooners | (+5) Moving up from playing FBS Temple |
14 | Boise State Broncos | (+16) A solid win against an FBS team on the road is rewarded here. Preseason ranking (#30) helps as well |
15 | Oregon Ducks | (-12) Woof. |
16 | SMU Mustangs | (+12) Hilarious placement by the model for me. SMU eked out a win on the road against a bottom 20 preseason team and won against an FCS team, which is still a better resume than most teams. Their preseason rank of #28 didn't hurt either. |
17 | TCU Horned Frogs | (+24) Stanford's preseason ranking was abysmal for a P4 team (84), which stops TCU from climbing even more |
18 | Ole Miss Rebels | (-12) |
19 | Utah Utes | (-9) |
20 | Wisconsin Badgers | (+13) Another case of an FBS win being rewarded in a sea of FCS wins. Uninspiring performance, to say the least. |
21 | Missouri Tigers | (-10) |
22 | Kentucky Wildcats | (+10) FBS win bumps Kentucky just enough but unlike some others on this list they actually look somewhat the part |
23 | Tennessee Volunteers | (-8) Tennessee goes down due to playing an FCS team but Nico looks real good. |
24 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | (+10) Beating FBS UTEP to sneak into the top 25. Raiola looked pretty solid. |
25 | Kansas State Wildcats | (-8) |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
2 | USC Trojans | 1.61 |
3 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.35 |
4 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.48 |
5 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.60 |
6 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.30 |
7 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
8 | Texas Longhorns | -0.30 |
9 | Ohio State Buckeyes | -0.90 |
10 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 8.65 |
11 | Boston College Eagles | 2.63 |
12 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 0.99 |
13 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
14 | Boise State Broncos | 7.14 |
15 | Oregon Ducks | -0.22 |
16 | SMU Mustangs | 2.17 |
17 | TCU Horned Frogs | 6.17 |
18 | Ole Miss Rebels | -2.10 |
19 | Utah Utes | -0.61 |
20 | Wisconsin Badgers | 4.98 |
21 | Missouri Tigers | -1.65 |
22 | Kentucky Wildcats | 1.21 |
23 | Tennessee Volunteers | -1.65 |
24 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 0.18 |
25 | Kansas State Wildcats | -1.35 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Oklahoma State Cowboys | 1.58 |
Kansas Jayhawks | 0.99 |
Arizona Wildcats | 0.65 |
Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.66 |
Louisville Cardinals | 0.35 |
LSU Tigers | 0.37 |
Total Score: 50.83