Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 2, 2024, 10:18 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Georgia Bulldogs	1.305 (9.9-2.1)
2	Michigan Wolverines	1.193 (9.5-2.5)
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	1.161 (9.6-2.4)
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	1.143 (9.8-2.2)
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	1.067 (9.4-2.6)
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.034 (10.2-1.8)
7	Texas Longhorns	1.011 (9.3-2.7)
8	Oregon Ducks	0.946 (8.6-3.4)
9	Ole Miss Rebels	0.935 (9.5-2.5)
10	Tennessee Volunteers	0.890 (9.0-3.0)
11	Washington Huskies	0.789 (8.0-4.0)
12	USC Trojans	0.784 (7.4-4.6)
13	Oklahoma Sooners	0.763 (7.8-4.2)
14	Kansas State Wildcats	0.718 (9.1-2.9)
15	Louisville Cardinals	0.678 (8.7-3.3)
16	Missouri Tigers	0.661 (8.5-3.5)
17	Maryland Terrapins	0.577 (7.8-4.2)
18	Utah Utes	0.564 (8.4-3.6)
19	LSU Tigers	0.557 (7.3-4.7)
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.509 (7.9-4.1)
21	Arizona Wildcats	0.489 (8.0-4.0)
22	UCF Knights	0.477 (8.1-3.9)
23	Auburn Tigers	0.443 (7.0-5.0)
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.422 (7.0-5.0)
25	Miami Hurricanes	0.420 (8.4-3.6)

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
2	Michigan Wolverines	1.12
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
4	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.48
5	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
6	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
7	Texas Longhorns	-0.01
8	Oregon Ducks	0.00
9	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
10	Tennessee Volunteers	0.16
11	Washington Huskies	2.53
12	USC Trojans	0.00
13	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
14	Kansas State Wildcats	0.14
15	Louisville Cardinals	1.55
16	Missouri Tigers	-0.38
17	Maryland Terrapins	6.16
18	Utah Utes	-0.36
19	LSU Tigers	0.35
20	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.00
21	Arizona Wildcats	0.00
22	UCF Knights	2.87
23	Auburn Tigers	1.38
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	-0.11
25	Miami Hurricanes	-1.76

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Kansas Jayhawks	0.99
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	0.02

Total Score: 20.37