BeyondLiesTheWub Ballot for 2024 Week 2
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 2, 2024, 10:08 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). So far, no one in the top 12 seems too crazy so I'm just leaving the model results this week. There are some iffy choices below 12 but since most teams only have 1 game I'll trust the model.
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.15 |
| 2 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-1.40 |
| 5 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.07 |
| 6 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.30 |
| 7 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
1.15 |
| 9 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Maryland Terrapins
|
9.52 |
| 14 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-0.97 |
| 15 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
5.83 |
| 16 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
6.17 |
| 18 |
Utah Utes
|
-0.36 |
| 19 |
UTSA Roadrunners
|
6.21 |
| 20 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Auburn Tigers
|
3.22 |
| 22 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
2.98 |
| 23 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
James Madison Dukes
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
USC Trojans
|
2.20 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
1.58 |
Kansas Jayhawks
|
0.99 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.66 |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
0.02 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.37 |
Total Score: 44.16