Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 19, 2023, 8:13 p.m.
Overall Rationale: THIS IS A REPORT CARD. This poll is based on results and resume, and does not look at team talent, prior seasons, or anything like that. This poll is designed to combat poll inertia and human bias. The only human adjustments I use at this point in the season are between consecutively ranked teams with head-to-head matchups.
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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Tier 1, the Playoff Tier, is composed of undefeated teams with multiple P5 wins and one or more ranked win. Washington takes the top spot with 4 Ranked wins over Arizona, Oregon, Utah, and Oregon State to be 11-0. |
2 |
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Ohio State has 2 Ranked wins over Notre Dame and Penn State and is undefeated to be 11-0. They take this spot over Georgia due to strength of record. |
3 |
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Georgia has 2 Ranked wins over Mizzou and Ole Miss and is undefeated to be 11-0. |
4 |
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Michigan has 1 Ranked win over Penn State and is undefeated to be 11-0. |
5 |
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Florida State has 1 Ranked win over LSU and is undefeated to be 11-0. They lose out to Michigan due to strength of record. |
6 |
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Tier 2 is made of teams with multiple P5 wins, at least one Ranked win, and only 1 Loss. Texas tops this tier with 2 Ranked wins over Alabama and Kansas, as well as 1 Ranked loss to Oklahoma to be 10-1. They take this spot over Alabama due to direct, head-to-head matchup results. |
7 |
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Alabama has 2 Ranked wins over Ole Miss and LSU, as well as 1 Ranked loss to Texas to be 10-1, and ranked below Texas here. |
8 |
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Oregon has 1 Ranked win over Utah and 1 Ranked loss to Washington to be 10-1. |
9 |
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Louisville has 1 Ranked win over Notre Dame, and 1 Unranked loss to Pitt to be 10-1. |
10 |
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Tier 3 is teams with multiple P5 wins, one or zero ranked wins, and 2 Losses. Penn State has 1 Ranked win over Iowa, as well as 2 Ranked losses to Ohio State and Michigan to be 9-2. Strength of record determines position here. |
11 |
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Ole Miss has 1 Ranked win over LSU, as well as 2 Ranked losses to Alabama and Georgia to be 9-2. Strength of record determines position in this group. |
12 |
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Oklahoma has 1 Ranked win over Texas, as well as 2 Ranked losses to Kansas and Oklahoma State to be 9-2. They take the back seat to Ole Miss due to strength of record |
13 |
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Mizzou has no ranked wins, but 6 P5 wins, 2 G5 wins, 1 FCS win, as well as 2 Ranked losses to LSU and Georgia to be 9-2. |
14 |
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Iowa has no ranked wins, multiple P5 wins, and 2 Losses, one Ranked and one unranked, to be 9-2. |
15 |
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Tier 4 is the G5 Contender tier, which is composed of undefeated G5 teams. Liberty is 11-0 with no P5 or Ranked wins, and the only team in this tier. |
16 |
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Tier 5 is teams with at least one Ranked win, multiple P5 wins, and 3 losses. Arizona has 2 Ranked wins over Oregon State and Utah, as well as 3 losses, 2 unranked and 1 ranked to be 8-3. |
17 |
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Oklahoma State has 2 Ranked wins over Kansas and Oklahoma, as well as 3 unranked losses to be 8-3. They take the back seat to Arizona due to strength of record. |
18 |
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LSU has 1 Ranked win over Mizzou, as well as 3 Ranked losses to be 8-3. |
19 |
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Kansas State has 1 Ranked win over Kansas, as well as 3 Ranked losses to be 8-3. Strength of record places them below LSU and over Oregon State. |
20 |
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Oregon State has 1 Ranked win over Utah, as well as 3 losses, 2 Ranked and 1 unranked to be 8-3. |
21 |
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Tier 6 is teams with multiple P5 wins, 3 losses, and no ranked wins. UNC has 6 P5 wins, 1 G5 win, 1 FCS win, and 3 unranked losses to be 8-3. Strength of record puts them at the top of this tier, with one more P5 win. |
22 |
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Notre Dame has 5 P5 wins, 2 G5 wins, 1 FCS win, and 3 losses, 2 Ranked and 1 unranked, to be 8-3. Head-to-head over NC State. |
23 |
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NC State has 5 P5 wins, 2 G5 wins, 1 FCS win, and 3 losses, 2 Ranked and 1 unranked, to be 8-3. |
24 |
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Fresno State has 2 P5 wins and 3 unranked losses to be 8-3. |
25 |
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Tier 7 is teams with one Ranked win, multiple P5 wins, and 4 losses. Kansas has 1 Ranked win over Oklahoma, as well as 4 losses, 2 Ranked and 2 Unranked to be 7-4 |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
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1 |
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0.48 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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-0.51 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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0.09 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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-0.39 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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0.08 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.98 |
15 |
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0.32 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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1.13 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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-0.26 |
21 |
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3.69 |
22 |
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-0.20 |
23 |
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0.43 |
24 |
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1.22 |
25 |
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0.15 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
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1.26 |
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0.24 |
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0.32 |
Total Score: 11.75