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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2023 Week 13

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Nov. 19, 2023, 10:40 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 13 notes: Deservedness keeping the high-rated 2-loss teams such as Penn State and Missouri behind low-rated 0-loss teams such as Liberty and high-rated 3-loss teams such as LSU and Oregon State behind low-rated 1-loss teams such as Toledo. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 6-2 Notre Dame can be ranked over 7-1 Missouri, but 6-2 Notre Dame cannot be ranked over 7-0 Liberty even if Notre Dame beat Liberty heads up, rankings have Notre Dame over Liberty, and/or I think Notre Dame is better than Liberty)

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes If season were to end right now: Rose Bowl. I have Michigan winning the Big Ten
2 Washington Huskies If season were to end right now: Sugar Bowl
3 Michigan Wolverines If season were to end right now: Sugar Bowl
4 Georgia Bulldogs If season were to end right now: Rose Bowl. I have Texas getting in along with Michigan, Washington, and Georgia
5 Oregon Ducks If season were to end right now: Fiesta Bowl
6 Florida State Seminoles If season were to end right now: Orange Bowl
7 Texas Longhorns If season were to end right now: Cotton Bowl. I have Alabama rated higher, but direct head to head comes into play
8 Alabama Crimson Tide If season were to end right now: Orange Bowl
9 Louisville Cardinals If season were to end right now: Peach Bowl
10 Tulane Green Wave If season were to end right now: Cotton Bowl
11 James Madison Dukes If season were to end right now: Peach Bowl
12 Liberty Flames If season were to end right now: Fiesta Bowl. Lowest-rated 0-loss team. Deservedness factor keeping low-rated 0-loss team keeping high-rated 2+ loss teams behind them
13 Penn State Nittany Lions Would be ahead of Louisville if not for Deservedness
14 Missouri Tigers Would be ahead of Tulane if not for Deservedness
15 Ole Miss Rebels Would be ahead of Tulane if not for Deservedness
16 Oklahoma Sooners Would be ahead of Tulane if not for Deservedness
17 SMU Mustangs Would be ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness
18 Iowa Hawkeyes Would be ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness
19 Troy Trojans Would be ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness
20 UNLV Rebels Would be ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness
21 Toledo Rockets Lowest-rated 1-loss team. Deservedness factor keeping low-rated 1-loss team keeping high-rated 3+ loss teams behind them
22 LSU Tigers Would be ahead of Tulane if not for Deservedness
23 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Would be ahead of Tulane if not for Deservedness
24 Arizona Wildcats Would be ahead of Tulane if not for Deservedness. I have Oregon State rated higher, but direct head to head comes into play
25 Oregon State Beavers Would be ahead of Tulane if not for Deservedness. Next five: Oklahoma State, Kansas State, NC State, North Carolina (all would be ahead of Tulane if not for Deservedness), UTSA (would be ahead of Liberty if not for Deservedness)

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