Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 18, 2022, 9:12 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Strength of record rankings. These rankings use my predictive power rankings to calculate the probability that an average FBS team would have the given team's record (or better) against their schedule. Those probabilities are shown for each team.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Tennessee Volunteers	0.45%
2	Clemson Tigers	0.53%
3	TCU Horned Frogs	0.78%
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0.85%
5	Michigan Wolverines	0.94%
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	1.51%
7	Ole Miss Rebels	1.82%
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	1.87%
9	Syracuse Orange	2.30%
10	USC Trojans	3.46%
11	UCLA Bruins	3.49%
12	Kansas State Wildcats	6.42%
13	Oregon Ducks	7.51%
14	Illinois Fighting Illini	7.66%
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	8.03%
16	Oklahoma State Cowboys	8.56%
17	Texas Longhorns	8.71%
18	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	11.25%
19	North Carolina Tar Heels	11.56%
20	Kansas Jayhawks	12.58%
21	NC State Wolfpack	13.75%
22	Mississippi State Bulldogs	13.90%
23	Purdue Boilermakers	14.79%
24	Tulane Green Wave	15.19%
25	LSU Tigers	15.70%

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Tennessee Volunteers	0.31
2	Clemson Tigers	0.98
3	TCU Horned Frogs	1.36
4	Georgia Bulldogs	-0.58
5	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
7	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	-1.54
9	Syracuse Orange	0.16
10	USC Trojans	0.43
11	UCLA Bruins	-0.06
12	Kansas State Wildcats	0.93
13	Oregon Ducks	0.00
14	Illinois Fighting Illini	0.30
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
16	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-0.49
17	Texas Longhorns	0.00
18	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	-0.44
19	North Carolina Tar Heels	0.24
20	Kansas Jayhawks	4.71
21	NC State Wolfpack	0.21
22	Mississippi State Bulldogs	0.00
23	Purdue Boilermakers	0.00
24	Tulane Green Wave	0.00
25	LSU Tigers	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Utah Utes	2.00
Kentucky Wildcats	0.82
Cincinnati Bearcats	0.51

Total Score: 16.09