Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 17, 2022, 7:11 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 8 notes: Deservedness keeps teams such as Arkansas, Baylor, BYU, FSU, Oklahoma, and Texas A&M out when I would have them over some of the teams in this poll. The floodgates opened when both Coastal and James Madison lost. General: 1st layer, computer portion: SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. 2nd layer, human portion: home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). 3rd layer, human portion: wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. 4th layer, computer portion: Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 5-2 Texas cannot be ranked over 6-0 Syracuse even if rankings have Texas over Syracuse and/or I think Texas is better than Syracuse).
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Has done nothing to look bad |
2 | Tennessee Volunteers | Great win vs Alabama that also had a lot of help being at home, with Alabama penalties, and with a missed field goal |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | Second consecutive bounce-back game |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Won’t get dinged too much with one loss that was on the road to a highly-ranked opponent and when many mistakes were self-induced, but another one would probably send them down further than this |
5 | Michigan Wolverines | Human portion needs to see more big win dominations like the Penn State win |
6 | Clemson Tigers | Had Tennessee not won, Clemson probably would’ve been at 5. Close wins on the road and at home are good, but now domination in conference play is the difference-maker for the human portion |
7 | TCU Horned Frogs | Good win. Needs to dominate and have other teams lose or not dominate to climb |
8 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Won’t get dinged too much with one loss that was on the road to a highly-ranked opponent and when many mistakes were self-induced, but another one would probably send them down further than this. Computers portion doesn’t favor them this high |
9 | Oregon Ducks | Solid wins are the reason they’re here, but they need to start dominating and beating ranked teams |
10 | UCLA Bruins | Super favorable schedule to this point. Now they go to Oregon |
11 | Ole Miss Rebels | If Ole Miss does have gas, they haven’t turned it on yet. Until they do, if they keep playing and winning like this, it won’t be as impressive as the other undefeateds |
12 | USC Trojans | Won’t get dinged too much with one loss that was on the road to an opponent only capped by a Deservedness. Computers portion doesn’t favor them this high |
13 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Won’t get dinged or raised because of the bye |
14 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Blowout loss would normally drop them lower, but Deservedness capping some teams helps here. Still think they’re very talented |
15 | Kansas State Wildcats | Won’t get dinged or raised because of the bye + Deservedness capping some teams |
16 | Cincinnati Bearcats | Won’t get dinged or raised because of the bye + Deservedness capping some teams |
17 | Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois defense is good. Human portion went back and forth between them and Cincinnati. Deservedness capping some teams |
18 | North Carolina Tar Heels | Deservedness capping some teams allows them to be ranked |
19 | UCF Knights | Deservedness capping some teams allows them to be ranked |
20 | Syracuse Orange | The win at home against a back-up quarterback is not enough to rank them super high. Their next five games will be the best indicator of where they really are |
21 | Texas Longhorns | Deservedness prohibits 2-loss teams being ranked above 0-loss teams |
22 | Utah Utes | Deservedness prohibits 2-loss teams being ranked above 0-loss teams |
23 | Oregon State Beavers | Deservedness prohibits 2-loss teams being ranked above 0-loss teams |
24 | LSU Tigers | Deservedness prohibits 2-loss teams being ranked above 0-loss teams |
25 | Purdue Boilermakers | Deservedness prohibits 2-loss teams being ranked above 0-loss teams |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.08 |
2 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.81 |
5 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
6 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
7 | TCU Horned Frogs | 0.00 |
8 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.78 |
9 | Oregon Ducks | 0.24 |
10 | UCLA Bruins | 0.00 |
11 | Ole Miss Rebels | -1.16 |
12 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
13 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 0.00 |
14 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
15 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.00 |
16 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 1.33 |
17 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.00 |
18 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.58 |
19 | UCF Knights | 2.39 |
20 | Syracuse Orange | -1.64 |
21 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
22 | Utah Utes | -0.86 |
23 | Oregon State Beavers | 2.03 |
24 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
25 | Purdue Boilermakers | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Kentucky Wildcats | 0.82 |
Tulane Green Wave | 0.26 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.16 |
NC State Wolfpack | 0.16 |
Total Score: 13.29