Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Dec. 6, 2021, 9:59 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Strength of record rankings. These rankings use my predictive power rankings to calculate the probability that an average FBS team would have the given team's record (or better) against their schedule. Those probabilities are shown for each team.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.01%
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.02%
3	Michigan Wolverines	0.02%
4	Cincinnati Bearcats	0.03%
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.07%
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.26%
7	Ole Miss Rebels	0.29%
8	Michigan State Spartans	0.29%
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.33%
10	Baylor Bears	0.35%
11	Oklahoma Sooners	0.80%
12	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.89%
13	Pittsburgh Panthers	1.15%
14	BYU Cougars	1.24%
15	UTSA Roadrunners	1.25%
16	Oregon Ducks	1.37%
17	San Diego State Aztecs	1.44%
18	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	1.91%
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	2.30%
20	Utah Utes	2.73%
21	Clemson Tigers	2.98%
22	Wisconsin Badgers	4.04%
23	NC State Wolfpack	5.33%
24	Purdue Boilermakers	5.33%
25	Kentucky Wildcats	6.12%

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.18
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.75
3	Michigan Wolverines	-0.34
4	Cincinnati Bearcats	-0.03
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
6	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.79
7	Ole Miss Rebels	0.36
8	Michigan State Spartans	0.72
9	Ohio State Buckeyes	-0.31
10	Baylor Bears	-1.06
11	Oklahoma Sooners	0.40
12	Iowa Hawkeyes	1.11
13	Pittsburgh Panthers	0.00
14	BYU Cougars	0.00
15	UTSA Roadrunners	0.74
16	Oregon Ducks	0.00
17	San Diego State Aztecs	2.49
18	Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns	0.00
19	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.00
20	Utah Utes	-2.27
21	Clemson Tigers	0.00
22	Wisconsin Badgers	0.06
23	NC State Wolfpack	-0.34
24	Purdue Boilermakers	0.38
25	Kentucky Wildcats	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Houston Cougars	0.76
Arkansas Razorbacks	0.41
Texas A&M Aggies	0.09

Total Score: 13.59