Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 22, 2021, 10:03 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Next 5 out are: Oklahoma (229 Points); Brigham Young (228 Points); Washington State (227 Points); Army (226 Points); and Oregon State (211 Points). These point totals are incredible close, even between ranks 15 (297  pts) and rank 30 (211 points) which I think shows just how undecided this poll is at this point in the season. There's been a lot of weird movement (Utah blasting Oregon for example, while losing to BYU) that it just doesn't know how to handle.How it works:This is the Biorhythmic Ratings Over Holistic Methodology (BROHM) rankings originally created by /u/factorialite and modified and used with their permission. The way BROHM works is that each team is assigned points based on the following: P5 teams 150 points to startG5 teams 100 pointsFCS Playoff (last year) teams 75 pointsand all other FCS teams 50 points. For each game, a team contributes half of its points into the game pool (so if a P5 team starts against another P5 team they each contribute 75 points). Then, they take out points based on their Pythagorean share in that game (PointsFOR^2/(PointsFOR^2+PointsAGAINST^2)). This way, it's possible for a "bad" team to play a "good" team close and ultimately win points despite losing the game. Alternatively, it is possible for a "good" team to win a game and ultimately lose points to a "bad" team by not beating them by enough.Lastly, to help prevent major swings every week while also filtering generally "good" teams to the top, this ranking is run through several times. I found this helps stabilize the rankings week-to-week, however it doesn't prevent the model from coming up with extremely "hot" takes (which add to the fun, imo).
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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1637 Points |
2 |
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698 Points |
3 |
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639 Points |
4 |
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563 Points |
5 |
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511 Points |
6 |
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499 Points |
7 |
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435 Points |
8 |
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416 Points |
9 |
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412 Points |
10 |
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380 Points |
11 |
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363 Points |
12 |
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350 Points |
13 |
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340 Points |
14 |
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313 Points |
15 |
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297 Points |
16 |
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283 Points |
17 |
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280 Points |
18 |
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274 Points |
19 |
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257 Points |
20 |
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255 Points |
21 |
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243 Points |
22 |
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236 Points |
23 |
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235 Points |
24 |
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232 Points |
25 |
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230 Points |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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1.82 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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-0.08 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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1.82 |
8 |
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1.72 |
9 |
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-1.56 |
10 |
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1.04 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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12.99 |
13 |
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-0.50 |
14 |
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2.83 |
15 |
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6.32 |
16 |
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3.89 |
17 |
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1.35 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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5.23 |
21 |
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3.79 |
22 |
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2.80 |
23 |
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2.06 |
24 |
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1.23 |
25 |
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0.20 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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6.58 |
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2.74 |
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3.09 |
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1.64 |
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2.06 |
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1.63 |
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1.05 |
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0.53 |
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0.34 |
Total Score: 70.89