Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 14, 2021, 7:22 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Season-long maximum a priori estimate under a Bradley-Terry probability model. Probabilities of future games are estimated using ESPN's Football Power Index, and FPI's influence diminishes to zero as the season progresses.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
29.73 |
2 |
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22.84 |
3 |
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21.36 |
4 |
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20.81 |
5 |
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20.50 |
6 |
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19.64 |
7 |
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18.73 |
8 |
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17.75 |
9 |
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16.74 |
10 |
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15.53 |
11 |
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15.37 |
12 |
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15.26 |
13 |
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13.53 |
14 |
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13.22 |
15 |
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13.20 |
16 |
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12.37 |
17 |
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11.77 |
18 |
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11.37 |
19 |
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11.13 |
20 |
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10.97 |
21 |
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10.87 |
22 |
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10.50 |
23 |
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10.42 |
24 |
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10.39 |
25 |
![]() |
10.24 |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
0.00 |
2 |
![]() |
0.00 |
3 |
![]() |
0.04 |
4 |
![]() |
0.00 |
5 |
![]() |
0.18 |
6 |
![]() |
0.00 |
7 |
![]() |
0.00 |
8 |
![]() |
0.84 |
9 |
![]() |
0.00 |
10 |
![]() |
0.00 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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-1.47 |
14 |
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-0.03 |
15 |
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0.16 |
16 |
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0.01 |
17 |
![]() |
1.05 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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-0.48 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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1.98 |
23 |
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1.94 |
24 |
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0.62 |
25 |
![]() |
-1.11 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
![]() |
0.58 |
![]() |
0.30 |
![]() |
0.08 |
Total Score: 10.87