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Fmeson Ballot for 2021 Week 12

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 15, 2021, 1:58 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Win/loss only poll designed around how I would philosophically rank teams for the playoffs. It's not quite a predictive poll, it's not quite a resume poll. Instead, it tries to best guess a performance distribution based off of prior wins and losses. Then, we calculate an expectation value for teams playing a round robin using said probability distributions of all teams and teams are ranked by overall win rate. Teams in the 10-25 range are very close in value typically, and can be seen as somewhat interchangeable. So far, only UGA is really head and shoulders above anyone else.

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