ExternalTangents Ballot for 2021 Week 12
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 16, 2021, 9:07 a.m.
Overall Rationale: This is a predictive ranking system. No information outside of the current season is used. Only scores of games and home/away locations are used. Losses against FCS opponents are counted, wins are not. It starts all calculations fresh each week from 0 and then iterates until ratings stabilize, so past weeks' results are reevaluated from the perspective of the current week. Numerical scores for each team represent how many points above or below average they are. Subtract scores to get an estimated spread between two teams, with 3 points given to the home team. Preseason rankings are included for stability in the first half of the season, but have worn off for all teams. At this point in the season, the ratings are on par with the top half of systems tracked on predictiontracker.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
20.29 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
15.29 |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
14.44 |
| 4 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
11.98 |
| 5 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
10.61 |
| 6 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
9.83 |
| 7 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
9.77 |
| 8 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
9.71 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
9.44 |
| 10 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
9.07 |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
8.07 |
| 12 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
7.85 |
| 13 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
7.81 |
| 14 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
7.59 |
| 15 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
7.12 |
| 16 |
Utah Utes
|
6.97 |
| 17 |
Boise State Broncos
|
6.65 |
| 18 |
Baylor Bears
|
6.64 |
| 19 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
6.25 |
| 20 |
Oregon Ducks
|
5.62 |
| 21 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
5.22 |
| 22 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
|
5.19 |
| 23 |
Auburn Tigers
|
4.93 |
| 24 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
4.89 |
| 25 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
4.73 |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.30 |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.04 |
| 4 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.93 |
| 5 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.87 |
| 6 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
2.14 |
| 7 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
2.08 |
| 8 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.26 |
| 10 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
-2.44 |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
11.15 |
| 12 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
4.22 |
| 13 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
-1.57 |
| 14 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
10.93 |
| 15 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.15 |
| 16 |
Utah Utes
|
2.10 |
| 17 |
Boise State Broncos
|
8.00 |
| 18 |
Baylor Bears
|
-1.63 |
| 19 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-3.54 |
| 21 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
3.77 |
| 22 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Auburn Tigers
|
1.86 |
| 24 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
-1.21 |
| 25 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
-4.49 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
UTSA Roadrunners
|
1.91 |
BYU Cougars
|
2.53 |
Houston Cougars
|
1.70 |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
|
0.58 |
San Diego State Aztecs
|
0.60 |
Total Score: 70.99