Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 12, 2021, 11:24 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Computer poll that takes into account game performance without an eye for wins or losses (eg a 7 point loss to Georgia is more respected than a 7 point win vs Tulane), preseason expectations and recent history (the latter will drop out after this week, with 3 weeks of data to go on). I then allow a human adjustment of up to 3 ranks for each team, to adjust for the computer being over- or under- aggressive.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Computer rank 1 |
| 2 |
Oregon Ducks
|
Computer rank 2. |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Computer rank 6, adjusted to 3 because it's Alabama |
| 4 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
Computer rank 3, adjusted to 4. |
| 5 |
Clemson Tigers
|
Computer rank 4, adjusted to 5. |
| 6 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Computer rank 5, adjusted to 6. |
| 7 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
Computer rank 7 |
| 8 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
Computer rank 8 |
| 9 |
UCLA Bruins
|
Computer rank 9 |
| 10 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Computer rank 10 |
| 11 |
UCF Knights
|
Computer rank 12, moved past Auburn |
| 12 |
Auburn Tigers
|
Computer rank 11, moved down a spot due to extremely weak competition-- they have not proved themselves. |
| 13 |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
|
Computer rank 13 |
| 14 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
Computer rank 14. |
| 15 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
Computer rank 15 |
| 16 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
Computer rank 16 |
| 17 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
Computer rank 17 |
| 18 |
Florida Gators
|
Computer rank 18 |
| 19 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
Computer rank 19. Will likely drop next week when the impact of preseason expectations is lessened. |
| 20 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
|
Computer rank 20 |
| 21 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
Computer rank 22, moved past USC |
| 22 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
Computer rank 23, moved past USC |
| 23 |
BYU Cougars
|
Computer rank 26, moved up due to strong win against a rival |
| 24 |
USC Trojans
|
Only ranked because the computer made them 21. |
| 25 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
Computer rank 24, moved BYU past them. Mostly still in the poll because of strong preseason expectations. Unlikely to stay in next week, when I lower the weight of preseason expectations. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.37 |
| 2 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.12 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
-0.33 |
| 4 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.21 |
| 6 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.28 |
| 7 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
UCLA Bruins
|
0.12 |
| 10 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
UCF Knights
|
2.04 |
| 12 |
Auburn Tigers
|
1.19 |
| 13 |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
|
0.36 |
| 14 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-0.32 |
| 15 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
9.18 |
| 17 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.07 |
| 18 |
Florida Gators
|
-1.22 |
| 19 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
0.70 |
| 20 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
0.24 |
| 22 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
USC Trojans
|
0.96 |
| 25 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
-0.63 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
1.36 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
1.76 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
0.73 |
Total Score: 22.19