Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 19, 2020, 6:41 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Right off the bat, I will not be considering teams that have not yet played a game in my poll despite the fact that the other voters voted to include them for some reason. I don't care that other voters are doing it and that it lines up with the AP, I think it's ridiculous to rank a team that hasn't run a single play. Because of this, it will also look like I'm way over-ranking some teams. I know no one will read this, but I'm still putting it here in an attempt to maybe mitigate comments about certain teams. My poll is a hybrid poll that is primarily based on a computer poll I developed. After my computer spits out the results, I take the values that are given for each team and break the ranking into tiers. I'll re-rank within tiers to allow for some adjustment for common sense. The computer poll itself has a preseason component and a performance-based component. The preseason component is based on team performance in recent years, recent recruiting, returning production, and coaching stability. This component was the entirety of my preseason poll. The performance-based component introduces winning percentage, points per game difference, and yards per play difference with strength of schedule adjustment. The overall ranking combines these two different components at different weights depending on how many games a team has played. Given the shorter and more uncertain season, I've sped up the rate at which the preseason component is phased out.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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1/1 in Tier Aa |
2 |
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1/1 in Tier Ab |
3 |
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1/1 in Tier Ac |
4 |
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1/3 in Tier B: Undefeated puts them ahead of UGA |
5 |
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2/3 in Tier B |
6 |
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3/3 in Tier B: Only 3 games played and no very impressive wins while UGA's only loss is to Bama |
7 |
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1/1 in Tier C |
8 |
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1/4 in Tier D: Only loss is to Clemson |
9 |
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2/4 in Tier D |
10 |
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3/4 in Tier D: FSU loss exposed them for the overhyped frauds that they are. That being said I'm not convinced enough by Marshall to put them at the very bottom of the tier. |
11 |
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4/4 in Tier D |
12 |
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1/2 in Tier E |
13 |
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2/2 in Tier E |
14 |
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1/3 in Tier F: Only loss is to Bama and they have quality win over Florida |
15 |
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2/3 in Tier F |
16 |
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3/3 in Tier F: Undefeated, but only 3 games played |
17 |
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1/4 in Tier G: 4-0 compared with a group of flawed Big 12 teams puts them at the top despite the conference affiliation. |
18 |
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2/4 in Tier G: Head-to-head win over Oklahoma |
19 |
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3/4 in Tier G: Head-to-head win over Texas |
20 |
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4/4 in Tier G |
21 |
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1/5 in Tier H: Only loss is to Coastal Carolina. Quality win over Iowa State. Combined it's enough to put them at the top of this Tier. |
22 |
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2/5 in Tier H |
23 |
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3/5 in Tier H |
24 |
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4/5 in Tier H: Head-to-head win over UCF |
25 |
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5/5 in Tier H |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.99 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.61 |
8 |
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0.46 |
9 |
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0.01 |
10 |
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0.58 |
11 |
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0.93 |
12 |
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0.82 |
13 |
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3.59 |
14 |
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-0.12 |
15 |
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0.76 |
16 |
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-0.69 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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3.39 |
20 |
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5.01 |
21 |
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0.50 |
22 |
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1.40 |
23 |
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1.63 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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0.12 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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1.39 |
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1.17 |
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0.88 |
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0.70 |
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0.93 |
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0.43 |
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0.20 |
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0.03 |
Total Score: 27.33