Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 12, 2020, 5:59 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Right off the bat, I will not be considering teams that have not yet played a game in my poll despite the fact that the other voters voted to include them for some reason. I don't care that other voters are doing it and that it lines up with the AP, I think it's ridiculous to rank a team that hasn't run a single play. Because of this, it will also look like I'm way over-ranking some teams. I know no one will read this, but I'm still putting it here in an attempt to maybe mitigate comments about certain teams. My poll is a hybrid poll that is primarily based on a computer poll I developed. After my computer spits out the results, I take the values that are given for each team and break the ranking into tiers. I'll re-rank within tiers to allow for some adjustment for common sense. The computer poll itself has a preseason component and a performance-based component. The preseason component is based on team performance in recent years, recent recruiting, returning production, and coaching stability. This component was the entirety of my preseason poll. The performance-based component introduces winning percentage, points per game difference, and yards per play difference with strength of schedule adjustment. The overall ranking combines these two different components at different weights depending on how many games a team has played. Given the shorter and more uncertain season, I've sped up the rate at which the preseason component is phased out.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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1/1 in Tier A |
2 |
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1/2 in Tier B |
3 |
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2/2 in Tier B: Defense has looked bad, esp. last week vs. Ole Miss. Puts them behind Clemson. |
4 |
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1/1 in Tier C |
5 |
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1/3 in Tier D |
6 |
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2/3 in Tier D |
7 |
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3/3 in Tier D |
8 |
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1/3 in Tier E: Only undefeated team in Tier puts them at the top. |
9 |
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2/3 in Tier E |
10 |
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3/3 in Tier E |
11 |
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1/6 in Tier F |
12 |
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2/6 in Tier F |
13 |
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3/6 in Tier F |
14 |
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4/6 in Tier F |
15 |
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5/6 in Tier F |
16 |
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6/6 in Tier F |
17 |
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1/5 in Tier G: Only loss is to UGA, putting them at the top. |
18 |
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2/5 in Tier G |
19 |
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3/5 in Tier G: Win over Oklahoma keeps them ahead of the Sooners |
20 |
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4/5 in Tier G: Win over Texas keeps them ahead of the Longhorns |
21 |
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5/5 in Tier G |
22 |
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1/4 in Tier H: Undefeated with a win over Iowa State |
23 |
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2/4 in Tier H: Only loss is a close loss to UNC. Also have Head-to-head vs. Pitt |
24 |
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3/4 in Tier H: Both losses by 1 point to teams ahead of them in my rankings. Keeps them ahead of WVU |
25 |
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4/4 in Tier H |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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1.20 |
2 |
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-0.01 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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1.23 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.73 |
9 |
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1.18 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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1.34 |
14 |
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-0.22 |
15 |
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0.88 |
16 |
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4.08 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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1.38 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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3.76 |
21 |
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4.08 |
22 |
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-0.04 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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1.08 |
25 |
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0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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1.37 |
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1.21 |
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0.87 |
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0.68 |
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0.67 |
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0.41 |
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0.08 |
Total Score: 26.52