Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 10, 2019, 8:40 p.m.
Overall Rationale: This is a forward-looking, predictive ballot. It is not a resume ranking. I start with an aggregate of the FPI and SP+ computer rankings and then adjust the teams based off of several "human" factors, including coaching, QB play, roster balance, eye test, and injuries. Because it is forward-looking, long-term injuries can significantly alter a team's ranking even before on-field performance has been affected.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | |
2 | Clemson Tigers | |
3 | LSU Tigers | |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | |
5 | Georgia Bulldogs | |
6 | Oregon Ducks | |
7 | Florida Gators | |
8 | Penn State Nittany Lions | |
9 | Oklahoma Sooners | |
10 | Utah Utes | |
11 | Auburn Tigers | |
12 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Minnesota still at 19th in FPI. I have them significantly above where FPI would have them based on eye test but I can only ignore the computer numbers, and their poor showing in the season's first month, to a certain extent. The same ranking system also gives them the #4 Strength of Record, which makes this a perfect time to reiterate that if my ballot were a resume ranker I would have them much closer to, if not in, the Playoff at the current moment. The good news for the Gophers is that, with games against Iowa and Wisconsin and a potential CCG, they are going to have plenty of additional opportunities to bolster their ranking. |
13 | Wisconsin Badgers | |
14 | Iowa State Cyclones | |
15 | Michigan Wolverines | |
16 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | |
17 | Baylor Bears | |
18 | Washington Huskies | |
19 | Iowa Hawkeyes | |
20 | Texas A&M Aggies | |
21 | Memphis Tigers | Memphis is 38th in FPI and 14th in SP+. Two hugely different narratives based on which computer system you favor. |
22 | SMU Mustangs | |
23 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | |
24 | Cincinnati Bearcats | |
25 | UCF Knights | Honorable Mention: USC, Texas, Navy, Indiana, Boise State, Air Force |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.15 |
2 | Clemson Tigers | 0.32 |
3 | LSU Tigers | -0.95 |
4 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.16 |
5 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.08 |
6 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
7 | Florida Gators | 1.20 |
8 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
9 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
10 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
11 | Auburn Tigers | 0.06 |
12 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | -1.43 |
13 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.02 |
14 | Iowa State Cyclones | 10.89 |
15 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
16 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
17 | Baylor Bears | -1.32 |
18 | Washington Huskies | 6.88 |
19 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 1.05 |
20 | Texas A&M Aggies | 4.71 |
21 | Memphis Tigers | -0.67 |
22 | SMU Mustangs | 0.00 |
23 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.76 |
24 | Cincinnati Bearcats | -1.85 |
25 | UCF Knights | 0.08 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Boise State Broncos | 1.33 |
Navy Midshipmen | 0.99 |
Indiana Hoosiers | 0.46 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers | 0.22 |
Texas Longhorns | 0.40 |
Total Score: 35.99