Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 30, 2019, 8:05 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Probabilistic model that uses Bayesian inference on a team's results to assign a probability of a team's rating given all their results to date. No results outside of the current season are used. Only scores of games and home/away locations are used. No games against FCS opponents are counted.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes
2	Auburn Tigers
3	Oklahoma Sooners
4	Alabama Crimson Tide
5	LSU Tigers
6	Georgia Bulldogs
7	Oregon Ducks
8	Penn State Nittany Lions
9	Texas Longhorns
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys
11	Wisconsin Badgers
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
13	Washington Huskies
14	UCF Knights
15	Michigan State Spartans
16	Iowa State Cyclones
17	Clemson Tigers
18	Missouri Tigers
19	Arizona State Sun Devils
20	TCU Horned Frogs
21	Kansas State Wildcats
22	Tulane Green Wave
23	Cincinnati Bearcats
24	Iowa Hawkeyes
25	California Golden Bears

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.44
2	Auburn Tigers	0.93
3	Oklahoma Sooners	0.26
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	-0.17
5	LSU Tigers	0.00
6	Georgia Bulldogs	-0.06
7	Oregon Ducks	1.32
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.10
9	Texas Longhorns	0.23
10	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2.69
11	Wisconsin Badgers	-0.86
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
13	Washington Huskies	0.24
14	UCF Knights	1.36
15	Michigan State Spartans	1.73
16	Iowa State Cyclones	9.14
17	Clemson Tigers	-4.78
18	Missouri Tigers	5.77
19	Arizona State Sun Devils	0.23
20	TCU Horned Frogs	4.90
21	Kansas State Wildcats	3.96
22	Tulane Green Wave	3.19
23	Cincinnati Bearcats	2.15
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	-2.91
25	California Golden Bears	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Florida Gators	3.64
Boise State Broncos	2.14
Utah Utes	1.35
Wake Forest Demon Deacons	0.50
SMU Mustangs	0.33
Michigan Wolverines	0.46
Virginia Cavaliers	0.33

Total Score: 56.18