CoopertheFluffy Ballot for 2019 Week 6
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 29, 2019, 4:08 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Average Transitive Margin of Victory - relies on score differential and nothing else, not even who won, and constructs a power ranking based on head to head matchups. Much more detail at:https://www.reddit.com/r/CFBAnalysis/comments/db0tn8/average_transitive_margin_of_victory_rankings/
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Literally unstoppable against average and above average teams. |
| 2 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Maryland skews them up here, would be 6th if the Maryland-Syracuse game is excluded |
| 3 |
Auburn Tigers
|
Played some above average to good teams and won. |
| 4 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Demolished below-average teams, finally beat a good team. |
| 5 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
|
| 6 |
Oregon Ducks
|
Early season cupcake munching and hung/beat with some good teams. |
| 7 |
LSU Tigers
|
|
| 8 |
Washington Huskies
|
|
| 9 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
|
| 10 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
|
| 11 |
Texas Longhorns
|
|
| 12 |
UCF Knights
|
|
| 13 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
Big wins and a close Top-11 loss. |
| 14 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
|
| 15 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
52 point victory against ULM is a huge boost to their power, should be averaged out soon as ULM plays Memphis and Iowa State plays another game to average out a single game's effect on the power. |
| 16 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
All their opponents got a power boost this week. Medium-sized wins over above-average teams and a close loss to a top 25 team. Model predicts a 35 point loss to Ohio State next week, which may affect their place in the poll in either direction. |
| 17 |
Clemson Tigers
|
UNC ain't great. Should have won by 35+ according to last week's model, or 30+ according to this week's model in order to not affect their place from last week. |
| 18 |
Missouri Tigers
|
Strange results. Wyoming seems to be a 40 point underperformance or vs Scar and WVU 20 point overperformances each.  Almost as inconsistent as Pitt. |
| 19 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
Decent wins against teams with quality losses to tOSU who are therefore above-average. |
| 20 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
|
| 21 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
|
| 22 |
Utah Utes
|
|
| 23 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
|
| 24 |
USC Trojans
|
|
| 25 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
Close win vs UCF and "close" loss vs #2 Penn State manage to offset the equally fluky loss to UVA and close win vs Ohio. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.44 |
| 2 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
2.28 |
| 3 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.54 |
| 4 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
-0.17 |
| 5 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1.59 |
| 7 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Washington Huskies
|
1.77 |
| 9 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-1.43 |
| 10 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
-0.39 |
| 11 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
UCF Knights
|
1.96 |
| 13 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
1.79 |
| 14 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
10.14 |
| 16 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
1.43 |
| 17 |
Clemson Tigers
|
-4.78 |
| 18 |
Missouri Tigers
|
5.77 |
| 19 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
6.15 |
| 20 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
-1.45 |
| 21 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
3.90 |
| 22 |
Utah Utes
|
-0.14 |
| 23 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
2.19 |
| 24 |
USC Trojans
|
0.98 |
| 25 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.22 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Florida Gators
|
3.64 |
Boise State Broncos
|
2.14 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.50 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.33 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.46 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
0.31 |
Virginia Cavaliers
|
0.33 |
Total Score: 57.23