BosskOnASegway Ballot for 2019 Week 6
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 30, 2019, 9:30 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Ranked by probability of making the playoffs based on 538's predictive model until teams are below 5% then switches to ranking by Conference champ probability among teams tracked on 538's playoff predictor otherwise no G5 teams will show up. If there still aren't enough teams before conference champ probability falls below 5%, strength of record of the remaining teams is used to rank them.  This helps better capture NY6 probability after playoffs become unrealistic/longshot goals for some teams.  Additionally, as strength of record is one of the best predictors of CFP ranking, it helps reflect what the CFP values toward the bottom of the list.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
Playoff: 73% |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Playoff: 49% |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Playoff: 46% |
| 4 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
Playoff: 43% |
| 5 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Playoff: 32% |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
Playoff: 20% |
| 7 |
Auburn Tigers
|
Playoff: 17% |
| 8 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
Playoff: 15% |
| 9 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Playoff: 14% |
| 10 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
Playoff: 12% |
| 11 |
Oregon Ducks
|
Playoff: 11% |
| 12 |
Florida Gators
|
Playoff: 10% |
| 13 |
Washington Huskies
|
Playoff: 9% |
| 14 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
Playoff: 7% |
| 15 |
Texas Longhorns
|
Playoff: 5% |
| 16 |
Utah Utes
|
Playoff: 5% |
| 17 |
Boise State Broncos
|
Conference: 37% |
| 18 |
UCF Knights
|
Conference: 37% |
| 19 |
SMU Mustangs
|
Conference: 19% |
| 20 |
USC Trojans
|
Conference: 10% |
| 21 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
Conference: 9% |
| 22 |
Virginia Cavaliers
|
Conference: 8% |
| 23 |
Baylor Bears
|
Conference: 7% |
| 24 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
Conference: 6% |
| 25 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
Conference: 6% |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.43 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.25 |
| 12 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.24 |
| 14 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Utah Utes
|
0.17 |
| 17 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
UCF Knights
|
0.17 |
| 19 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
USC Trojans
|
4.98 |
| 21 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Virginia Cavaliers
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Baylor Bears
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
1.07 |
| 25 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
-0.28 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.46 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
0.31 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
0.10 |
Total Score: 8.46