Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 8, 2018, 11 a.m.
Overall Rationale: My hybrid poll utilizes two computer polls. A preseason component that I will phase out as the season goes along and a results-oriented poll. The preseason component is 30% this week and the results-oriented poll is 70%.The Preseason component is made up of Past season's results, Returning production, 2 year recruiting Avg., and Coaching continuity. The results-oriented component is made up of Winning %, Points per Game differential, Yards per Play differential, and Strength of Schedule. Once the overall rankings are developed, I split the teams that are close to each other into tiers and re-rank within the tiers. Things were neat this week as the final tier (Tier K) ended right at the 25th ranked team.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1/1 in Tier A |
2 | Clemson Tigers | 1/1 in Tier B |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 1/1 in Tier C |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 1/2 in Tier D: Undefeated |
5 | Oklahoma Sooners | 2/2 in Tier D: One loss to Texas (who are probably back) |
6 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1/3 in Tier E: Undefeated |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 2/3 in Tier E: One loss by 1 point to Ohio St. |
8 | Michigan Wolverines | 3/3 in Tier E: One loss by 7 points to Notre Dame |
9 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 1/4 in Tier F: Undefeated |
10 | UCF Knights | 2/4 in Tier F: Undefeated |
11 | Washington Huskies | 3/4 in Tier F: Close loss to quality Auburn |
12 | Miami Hurricanes | 4/4 in Tier F: Blowout loss to quality LSU |
13 | Florida Gators | 1/1 in Tier G |
14 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1/1 in Tier H |
15 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 1/2 in Tier I: Not exactly a tough schedule, but they are still 6-0 |
16 | Wisconsin Badgers | 2/2 in Tier I: Despite playing a tougher schedule than Cincinnati, their loss to BYU looks pretty bad. |
17 | Kentucky Wildcats | 1/3 in Tier J: Despite my computer not liking TAMU (Kentucky's only  loss) for having two losses, they are to Bama and Clemson. Losing by only 6 to TAMU is better than LSU losing by 8 to Florida IMO, despite Florida being 13th and TAMU unranked. |
18 | LSU Tigers | 2/3 in Tier J: See above Kentucky explanation |
19 | Memphis Tigers | 3/3 in Tier J: Multiple losses against a relatively weak schedule. My computer loves them, so they're ranked though. |
20 | Texas Longhorns | 1/6 in Tier K: Despite loss to Maryland, they have multiple wins against teams better than anyone NC St or Colorado has played |
21 | NC State Wolfpack | 2/6 in Tier K: Have looked slightly better than Colorado against slightly better competition |
22 | Colorado Buffaloes | 3/6 in Tier K: See NC State explanation above. |
23 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 4/6 in Tier K: Only loss to Wisconsin slightly better quality than USU's only loss to Michigan State. |
24 | Utah State Aggies | 5/6 in Tier K: See above explanation for Iowa. |
25 | Auburn Tigers | 6/6 in Tier K: Multiple losses puts them at bottom of the tier. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Clemson Tigers | 0.98 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
4 | Ohio State Buckeyes | -0.08 |
5 | Oklahoma Sooners | 1.50 |
6 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -0.27 |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
8 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.44 |
9 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 0.00 |
10 | UCF Knights | 0.00 |
11 | Washington Huskies | 0.00 |
12 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.53 |
13 | Florida Gators | 0.00 |
14 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 2.62 |
15 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.84 |
16 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.00 |
17 | Kentucky Wildcats | 0.00 |
18 | LSU Tigers | -0.62 |
19 | Memphis Tigers | 6.23 |
20 | Texas Longhorns | -1.76 |
21 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.00 |
22 | Colorado Buffaloes | -0.06 |
23 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.00 |
24 | Utah State Aggies | 0.98 |
25 | Auburn Tigers | -0.07 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Oregon Ducks | 1.08 |
Texas A&M Aggies | 0.33 |
USF Bulls | 0.23 |
Total Score: 18.61