Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 1, 2018, 1:40 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Logic: Neural Network Regresssion Hyperparameter optimized to predict score differential:Activation: the rectified linear unit function or no-op activationOptimizer: adam stochastic gradient-based  or  lbfgsAlpha: 2, 4, or 8HIdden Layers: [(32,), (64,), (16,),(100,100,100),(60,60,60),(30,30,30),(120,120),(100,100),(30,30),(60,60)]Calculation: Train on Massey FBS + FCS games.Get Top 50 for simulating everyone playing everyone at home, away, and neutral and calculating total score differential.Get Top 25 by the top 50 playing eachother and only calculating a win or a loss.1 ['LSU', 137.0, 111]2 ['Alabama', 133.0, 4]3 ['Kentucky', 131.0, 104]4 ['Ohio_St', 129.0, 161]5 ['Texas_Tech', 111.0, 214]6 ['Michigan', 101.0, 122]7 ['Penn_St', 99.0, 168]8 ['Oklahoma', 97.0, 162]9 ['Appalachian_St', 93.0, 9]10 ['Florida', 85.0, 66]11 ['Boise_St', 85.0, 21]12 ['Georgia', 85.0, 76]13 ['Notre_Dame', 83.0, 159]14 ['Oklahoma_St', 73.0, 163]15 ['Army', 71.0, 15]16 ['West_Virginia', 71.0, 248]17 ['Clemson', 55.0, 41]18 ['Wisconsin', 51.0, 250]19 ['Washington_St', 49.0, 246]20 ['James_Madison', 47.0, 99]21 ['North_Texas', 45.0, 154]22 ['Miami_FL', 43.0, 120]23 ['NC_State', 33.0, 143]24 ['Texas', 27.0, 211]25 ['Michigan_St', 23.0, 123]26 ['South_Carolina', 17.0, 195]27 ['Auburn', 11.0, 16]28 ['Washington', 9.0, 245]29 ['Princeton', -3.0, 173]30 ['Virginia_Tech', -5.0, 238]31 ['Mississippi_St', -7.0, 126]32 ['Louisiana_Tech', -27.0, 109]33 ['TCU', -27.0, 206]34 ['Texas_A&M', -37.0, 212]35 ['Iowa_St', -39.0, 95]36 ['Stanford', -41.0, 202]37 ['Missouri', -41.0, 127]38 ['Iowa', -45.0, 94]39 ['Houston', -47.0, 84]40 ['S_Dakota_St', -47.0, 181]41 ['Syracuse', -57.0, 205]42 ['Duke', -61.0, 56]43 ['Florida_Intl', -65.0, 68]44 ['Colorado', -65.0, 44]45 ['Utah', -67.0, 231]46 ['USC', -67.0, 229]47 ['Mississippi', -69.0, 125]48 ['Cincinnati', -75.0, 39]49 ['Indiana', -75.0, 92]50 ['UCF', -79.0, 224]

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	LSU Tigers
2	Alabama Crimson Tide
3	Kentucky Wildcats
4	Ohio State Buckeyes
5	Texas Tech Red Raiders
6	Michigan Wolverines
7	Penn State Nittany Lions
8	Oklahoma Sooners
9	Appalachian State Mountaineers
10	Florida Gators
11	Boise State Broncos
12	Georgia Bulldogs
13	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys
15	Army West Point
16	West Virginia Mountaineers
17	Clemson Tigers
18	Wisconsin Badgers
19	Washington State Cougars
20	James Madison Dukes
21	North Texas Mean Green
22	Miami Hurricanes
23	NC State Wolfpack
24	Texas Longhorns
25	Michigan State Spartans

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	LSU Tigers	0.90
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
3	Kentucky Wildcats	1.76
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	-0.09
5	Texas Tech Red Raiders	19.73
6	Michigan Wolverines	2.10
7	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.40
8	Oklahoma Sooners	-0.21
9	Appalachian State Mountaineers	9.56
10	Florida Gators	3.25
11	Boise State Broncos	6.71
12	Georgia Bulldogs	-4.19
13	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-2.50
14	Oklahoma State Cowboys	2.25
15	Army West Point	10.00
16	West Virginia Mountaineers	-1.46
17	Clemson Tigers	-4.63
18	Wisconsin Badgers	0.00
19	Washington State Cougars	5.87
20	James Madison Dukes	5.23
21	North Texas Mean Green	4.10
22	Miami Hurricanes	-0.54
23	NC State Wolfpack	0.00
24	Texas Longhorns	-0.49
25	Michigan State Spartans	-0.01

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Auburn Tigers	3.69
Washington Huskies	3.85
UCF Knights	2.38
Stanford Cardinal	2.96
Oregon Ducks	1.24
Colorado Buffaloes	0.49

Total Score: 100.63