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Pablo49 Ballot for 2025 Week 16 & Bowls

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Dec. 9, 2025, 9:06 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Each game, the winning team "steals" a portion of their opponents points. This starts with a base 40% of opponent's points, plus up to 10% bonus based on margin of victory and home/away status. This 40% base decreases as the weeks go on (down to 17.5% by postseason), this is done to limit large swings as the season progresses. The season is ran both forwards and backwards (For example on week 10, the poll calculates weeks 1->10 and then weeks 10->1) and then averages results. This limits being destroyed by a week 1 loss, and give some hindsight to early winners. Starting points are assigned as follows: P5: 500, G5: 400, FCS: 200. This is ranking the most "deserving" teams and not an attempt to rank the "best" teams or to be predictive. For example, being ranked above another team does not imply you are the better team or should beat a lower team, just that you had better performance in your season. I also try to keep parity between P4 and G6 to be pretty tight. While this is not a particularly statistical method, as the season develops the top 10 especially usually shake out pretty decently. In the 5 years I've ran this poll, I have often had similar top end of the poll to the CFB, with few exceptions.

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