Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Dec. 7, 2025, 11:09 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Indiana Hoosiers	23.152 [13 - 0]
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	12.882 [12 - 1]
3	Oregon Ducks	12.295 [11 - 1]
4	Georgia Bulldogs	3.433 [12 - 1]
5	Ole Miss Rebels	3.210 [11 - 1]
6	Texas Longhorns	2.826 [9 - 3]
7	Oklahoma Sooners	2.793 [10 - 2]
8	Texas Tech Red Raiders	2.687 [12 - 1]
9	Texas A&M Aggies	2.679 [11 - 1]
10	Alabama Crimson Tide	2.620 [10 - 3]
11	BYU Cougars	2.350 [11 - 2]
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	2.334 [10 - 2]
13	Utah Utes	1.955 [10 - 2]
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.864 [10 - 2]
15	Michigan Wolverines	1.728 [9 - 3]
16	USC Trojans	1.702 [9 - 3]
17	Tennessee Volunteers	1.649 [8 - 4]
18	Missouri Tigers	1.566 [8 - 4]
19	LSU Tigers	1.513 [7 - 5]
20	Miami Hurricanes	1.495 [10 - 2]
21	Tulane Green Wave	1.433 [11 - 2]
22	Arizona Wildcats	1.319 [9 - 3]
23	Arizona State Sun Devils	1.314 [8 - 4]
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	1.304 [8 - 4]
25	Illinois Fighting Illini	1.259 [8 - 4]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
3	Oregon Ducks	1.09
4	Georgia Bulldogs	-0.14
5	Ole Miss Rebels	0.22
6	Texas Longhorns	2.29
7	Oklahoma Sooners	0.24
8	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-2.43
9	Texas A&M Aggies	-0.28
10	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.06
11	BYU Cougars	0.00
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	0.00
13	Utah Utes	0.00
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-0.65
15	Michigan Wolverines	0.95
16	USC Trojans	0.00
17	Tennessee Volunteers	7.43
18	Missouri Tigers	6.73
19	LSU Tigers	6.19
20	Miami Hurricanes	-3.17
21	Tulane Green Wave	-0.28
22	Arizona Wildcats	0.00
23	Arizona State Sun Devils	2.07
24	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.00
25	Illinois Fighting Illini	0.08

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
James Madison Dukes	1.13
Virginia Cavaliers	1.02
North Texas Mean Green	0.48
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	0.30
Navy Midshipmen	0.31

Total Score: 37.52