IWieldTheFlameOfAnor Ballot for 2025 Week 15
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 30, 2025, 4:12 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I have made my own ELO-rating system (similar to chess) for college football. Only final scores are considered in the ratings. W-L records do not matter. Margin of victory matters. My code is on github here: https://github.com/kyleaforrester/cfb_elo Losing to a good team might actually improve your rating if you played them close enough. Beating a bad team with a slim margin might drop your rating if your margin of victory isn't good enough. I don't care about the end W-L result or the W-L team records, just how each team performs when compared to what was expected of them.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
480 Elo - Win @ Michigan +0.9 Elo |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
359 Elo - Win @ Purdue +4.6 Elo |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
352 Elo - Win @ Washington +2.5 Elo |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
314 Elo - Win @ Georgia Tech -7.8 Elo |
| 5 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
310 Elo - Win @ Stanford +0.7 Elo |
| 6 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
306 Elo - Win @ West Virginia +9.3 Elo |
| 7 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
293 Elo - Win @ Tennessee +18.3 Elo |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
281 Elo - Win @ Auburn -2.0 Elo |
| 9 |
Texas Longhorns
|
270 Elo - Win vs Texas A&M +8.5 Elo |
| 10 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
265 Elo - Win @ Mississippi State +6.5 Elo |
| 11 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
264 Elo - Win @ Pittsburgh +21.1 Elo |
| 12 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
260 Elo - Loss @ Texas -9.2 Elo |
| 13 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
250 Elo - Win vs LSU -6.4 Elo |
| 14 |
Utah Utes
|
243 Elo - Win @ Kansas -1.8 Elo |
| 15 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
236 Elo - Win @ Nebraska +13.7 Elo |
| 16 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
235 Elo - Win @ Rutgers -10.9 Elo |
| 17 |
USC Trojans
|
225 Elo - Win vs UCLA +1.0 Elo |
| 18 |
BYU Cougars
|
214 Elo - Win vs UCF -1.4 Elo |
| 19 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
202 Elo - Loss vs Vanderbilt -18.3 Elo |
| 20 |
Missouri Tigers
|
194 Elo - Win @ Arkansas +14.3 Elo |
| 21 |
LSU Tigers
|
175 Elo - Loss @ Oklahoma +6.4 Elo |
| 22 |
SMU Mustangs
|
173 Elo - Loss @ California -20.0 Elo |
| 23 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
167 Elo - Win @ Arizona State +25.1 Elo |
| 24 |
Washington Huskies
|
166 Elo - Loss vs Oregon -2.5 Elo |
| 25 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
163 Elo - Loss vs Ohio State -0.8 Elo |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.47 |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.96 |
| 6 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
2.65 |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.33 |
| 9 |
Texas Longhorns
|
1.38 |
| 10 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-0.55 |
| 11 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-1.70 |
| 13 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
-0.58 |
| 14 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
4.85 |
| 16 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
9.16 |
| 17 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
BYU Cougars
|
-2.21 |
| 19 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
5.07 |
| 20 |
Missouri Tigers
|
4.65 |
| 21 |
LSU Tigers
|
4.20 |
| 22 |
SMU Mustangs
|
3.05 |
| 23 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.92 |
| 25 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-1.39 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Virginia Cavaliers
|
2.35 |
North Texas Mean Green
|
1.48 |
James Madison Dukes
|
1.29 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
1.22 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
0.41 |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
0.20 |
Total Score: 51.06