Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 30, 2025, 1:42 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Indiana Hoosiers	22.132 [12 - 0]
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	13.220 [12 - 0]
3	Oregon Ducks	11.983 [11 - 1]
4	Georgia Bulldogs	3.280 [11 - 1]
5	Ole Miss Rebels	3.127 [11 - 1]
6	Texas Longhorns	2.792 [9 - 3]
7	Oklahoma Sooners	2.783 [10 - 2]
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	2.683 [10 - 2]
9	Texas A&M Aggies	2.667 [11 - 1]
10	BYU Cougars	2.498 [11 - 1]
11	Texas Tech Red Raiders	2.451 [11 - 1]
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	2.344 [10 - 2]
13	Utah Utes	1.940 [10 - 2]
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.863 [10 - 2]
15	Michigan Wolverines	1.716 [9 - 3]
16	USC Trojans	1.688 [9 - 3]
17	Tennessee Volunteers	1.655 [8 - 4]
18	Missouri Tigers	1.574 [8 - 4]
19	LSU Tigers	1.516 [7 - 5]
20	Miami Hurricanes	1.503 [10 - 2]
21	Arizona Wildcats	1.327 [9 - 3]
22	Arizona State Sun Devils	1.304 [8 - 4]
23	Iowa Hawkeyes	1.298 [8 - 4]
24	North Texas Mean Green	1.262 [11 - 1]
25	Illinois Fighting Illini	1.220 [8 - 4]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Indiana Hoosiers	0.04
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	-0.02
3	Oregon Ducks	0.47
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
5	Ole Miss Rebels	0.04
6	Texas Longhorns	2.35
7	Oklahoma Sooners	0.26
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.33
9	Texas A&M Aggies	-0.25
10	BYU Cougars	0.00
11	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-2.68
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	0.00
13	Utah Utes	0.00
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-0.75
15	Michigan Wolverines	1.16
16	USC Trojans	0.00
17	Tennessee Volunteers	6.93
18	Missouri Tigers	6.65
19	LSU Tigers	6.20
20	Miami Hurricanes	-2.49
21	Arizona Wildcats	0.00
22	Arizona State Sun Devils	3.07
23	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.31
24	North Texas Mean Green	-0.92
25	Illinois Fighting Illini	0.17

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Virginia Cavaliers	2.35
James Madison Dukes	1.29
Tulane Green Wave	1.22
Navy Midshipmen	0.41
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	0.20

Total Score: 40.56