IWieldTheFlameOfAnor Ballot for 2025 Week 14
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 23, 2025, 4:12 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I have made my own ELO-rating system (similar to chess) for college football. Only final scores are considered in the ratings. W-L records do not matter. Margin of victory matters. My code is on github here: https://github.com/kyleaforrester/cfb_elo Losing to a good team might actually improve your rating if you played them close enough. Beating a bad team with a slim margin might drop your rating if your margin of victory isn't good enough. I don't care about the end W-L result or the W-L team records, just how each team performs when compared to what was expected of them.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
479 Elo, Win vs Rutgers +0.5 Elo |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
354 Elo, No Change |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
350 Elo, Win vs USC -1.5 Elo |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
322 Elo, Win vs Charlotte +0.1 Elo |
| 5 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
309 Elo, Win vs Syracuse +3.5 Elo |
| 6 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
297 Elo, Win vs UCF +6.1 Elo |
| 7 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
283 Elo, No Change |
| 8 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
275 Elo, Win vs Kentucky +9.7 Elo |
| 9 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
269 Elo, No Change |
| 10 |
Texas Longhorns
|
261 Elo, Win vs Arkansas -3.7 Elo |
| 11 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
258 Elo, No Change |
| 12 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
256 Elo, Win vs Missouri +10.0 Elo |
| 13 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
245 Elo, Win vs Nebraska +10.8 Elo |
| 14 |
Utah Utes
|
245 Elo, Win vs Kansas State -12.5 Elo |
| 15 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
242 Elo, Win @ Virginia Tech -2.4 Elo |
| 16 |
USC Trojans
|
224 Elo, Loss @ Oregon +1.4 Elo |
| 17 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
222 Elo, Win vs Michigan State -19.7 Elo |
| 18 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
220 Elo, Win @ Florida +21.4 Elo |
| 19 |
BYU Cougars
|
216 Elo, Win @ Cincinnati +12.2 Elo |
| 20 |
SMU Mustangs
|
193 Elo, Win vs Louisville +20.3 Elo |
| 21 |
Missouri Tigers
|
180 Elo, Loss @ Oklahoma -10.0 Elo |
| 22 |
Washington Huskies
|
169 Elo, Win @ UCLA +18.1 Elo |
| 23 |
LSU Tigers
|
169 Elo, Win vs Western Kentucky -21.1 Elo |
| 24 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
164 Elo, Win @ Maryland +13.8 Elo |
| 25 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
156 Elo, Loss @ Utah +12.5 Elo |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1.07 |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.97 |
| 6 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
1.01 |
| 8 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
1.84 |
| 9 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-4.81 |
| 10 |
Texas Longhorns
|
1.75 |
| 11 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-1.48 |
| 12 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
-0.72 |
| 13 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
12.19 |
| 14 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
-0.07 |
| 16 |
USC Trojans
|
0.32 |
| 17 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
8.00 |
| 18 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.19 |
| 19 |
BYU Cougars
|
-3.04 |
| 20 |
SMU Mustangs
|
1.14 |
| 21 |
Missouri Tigers
|
3.96 |
| 22 |
Washington Huskies
|
1.24 |
| 23 |
LSU Tigers
|
2.17 |
| 24 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-2.80 |
| 25 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.25 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Virginia Cavaliers
|
1.69 |
North Texas Mean Green
|
0.99 |
James Madison Dukes
|
1.03 |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
0.53 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
0.55 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.21 |
Total Score: 54.04