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DataDrivenPirate Ballot for 2025 Week 13

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 17, 2025, 11:09 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Computer model that minimizes the squared error difference between projected spread and actual spread, adjusted for home field advantage (~2.5pts) and with a decay to put more weight in recent games and less weight in games earlier in the season. Ratings are in parentheses in description for select teams. (on vacation this week, so no team-specific explanations, back with those next week)

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