Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 16, 2025, 8:26 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Indiana Hoosiers	4.276 [12.0 - 0.0]
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	3.053 [11.8 - 0.2]
3	Texas A&M Aggies	2.722 [11.5 - 0.5]
4	Georgia Bulldogs	2.587 [10.8 - 1.2]
5	Ole Miss Rebels	2.418 [10.8 - 1.2]
6	Texas Tech Red Raiders	2.139 [10.9 - 1.1]
7	Oregon Ducks	2.134 [10.5 - 1.5]
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	2.090 [9.7 - 2.3]
9	Oklahoma Sooners	2.050 [9.4 - 2.6]
10	BYU Cougars	2.040 [10.6 - 1.4]
11	Texas Longhorns	1.941 [8.3 - 3.7]
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.696 [10.0 - 2.0]
13	Utah Utes	1.683 [9.8 - 2.2]
14	Vanderbilt Commodores	1.663 [9.1 - 2.9]
15	USC Trojans	1.505 [9.2 - 2.8]
16	Tennessee Volunteers	1.454 [8.2 - 3.8]
17	Michigan Wolverines	1.443 [8.9 - 3.1]
18	LSU Tigers	1.350 [7.2 - 4.8]
19	Missouri Tigers	1.342 [7.9 - 4.1]
20	Miami Hurricanes	1.294 [9.6 - 2.4]
21	Illinois Fighting Illini	1.269 [8.4 - 3.6]
22	Arizona State Sun Devils	1.231 [8.2 - 3.8]
23	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	1.206 [9.7 - 2.3]
24	Houston Cougars	1.071 [8.9 - 3.1]
25	North Texas Mean Green	1.063 [10.8 - 1.2]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Indiana Hoosiers	0.06
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
3	Texas A&M Aggies	0.00
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
5	Ole Miss Rebels	0.11
6	Texas Tech Red Raiders	0.00
7	Oregon Ducks	0.00
8	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.28
9	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
10	BYU Cougars	0.00
11	Texas Longhorns	1.90
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
13	Utah Utes	0.00
14	Vanderbilt Commodores	0.00
15	USC Trojans	0.00
16	Tennessee Volunteers	1.44
17	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
18	LSU Tigers	7.14
19	Missouri Tigers	1.70
20	Miami Hurricanes	-1.44
21	Illinois Fighting Illini	1.79
22	Arizona State Sun Devils	2.65
23	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-1.58
24	Houston Cougars	0.00
25	North Texas Mean Green	-0.49

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Virginia Cavaliers	1.69
James Madison Dukes	0.88
Tulane Green Wave	0.31

Total Score: 23.47