Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 9, 2025, 9:39 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Indiana Hoosiers	3.828 [12.0-0.0]
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	2.898 [11.8-0.2]
3	Texas A&M Aggies	2.474 [11.3-0.7]
4	Georgia Bulldogs	2.313 [10.4-1.6]
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	2.237 [10.5-1.5]
6	Ole Miss Rebels	2.097 [10.6-1.4]
7	Oregon Ducks	2.026 [10.5-1.5]
8	Texas Longhorns	1.949 [8.7-3.3]
9	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1.919 [10.8-1.2]
10	BYU Cougars	1.749 [10.2-1.8]
11	Oklahoma Sooners	1.703 [8.6-3.4]
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	1.621 [9.1-2.9]
13	Utah Utes	1.498 [9.5-2.5]
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.485 [9.7-2.3]
15	Tennessee Volunteers	1.400 [8.2-3.8]
16	USC Trojans	1.289 [8.8-3.2]
17	Michigan Wolverines	1.237 [8.8-3.2]
18	Miami Hurricanes	1.233 [9.3-2.7]
19	Missouri Tigers	1.188 [7.7-4.3]
20	LSU Tigers	1.179 [7.1-4.9]
21	Arizona State Sun Devils	1.141 [8.1-3.9]
22	Illinois Fighting Illini	1.122 [8.3-3.7]
23	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	1.114 [9.6-2.4]
24	Cincinnati Bearcats	1.072 [8.4-3.6]
25	USF Bulls	0.999 [9.7-2.3]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Indiana Hoosiers	0.17
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
3	Texas A&M Aggies	0.00
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0.83
5	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
6	Ole Miss Rebels	0.03
7	Oregon Ducks	0.00
8	Texas Longhorns	0.57
9	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-0.75
10	BYU Cougars	0.00
11	Oklahoma Sooners	0.01
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	0.19
13	Utah Utes	0.00
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-0.27
15	Tennessee Volunteers	2.57
16	USC Trojans	0.00
17	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
18	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
19	Missouri Tigers	4.78
20	LSU Tigers	5.16
21	Arizona State Sun Devils	4.05
22	Illinois Fighting Illini	2.64
23	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-1.78
24	Cincinnati Bearcats	0.00
25	USF Bulls	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Louisville Cardinals	1.00
Virginia Cavaliers	0.89
Pittsburgh Panthers	0.43
James Madison Dukes	0.16
North Texas Mean Green	0.07

Total Score: 26.38