Back to poll results >>

DataDrivenPirate Ballot for 2025 Week 10

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 28, 2025, 9:05 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Computer model that minimizes the squared error difference between projected spread and actual spread, adjusted for home field advantage (~2.5pts) and with a decay to put more weight in recent games and less weight in games earlier in the season.

Rank Team Reason
1 Indiana Hoosiers Yeah I don't have an adjustment for garbage time so my model rewards running up the score
2 Ohio State Buckeyes Ironically, the Texas win is what is holding Ohio State back
3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Close losses and huge wins pushes ND up
4 Utah Utes Huge surge from their thumping of Colorado, every team they've lost to improved their rating which boosts Utah too
5 Texas Tech Red Raiders
6 Miami Hurricanes
7 Oregon Ducks Weirdly, a 10 point loss to Indiana is their biggest upward force and beating Wisconsin by 14 is holding them back
8 Alabama Crimson Tide
9 Texas A&M Aggies
10 Georgia Bulldogs
11 USC Trojans
12 Iowa Hawkeyes Congratulations on your 5 point loss to Indiana, enjoy their coat tails with Oregon. 38 point win against Minnesota helps too
13 BYU Cougars
14 Oklahoma Sooners
15 Ole Miss Rebels 7 point win against Kentucky, 3 point win against Washington State, I recommend winning by a more comfortable margin
16 Michigan Wolverines
17 Florida State Seminoles They continue to fall, but they're struggling to fall out of the top 25 because the model struggles to balance that with their win over Alabama
18 Vanderbilt Commodores
19 Texas Longhorns
20 USF Bulls
21 Washington Huskies
22 Kansas State Wildcats They are extremely lucky that I have not yet expanded the model to include FBS vs FCS games
23 Tennessee Volunteers
24 Missouri Tigers
25 Pittsburgh Panthers FSU's win over Bama keeps them afloat, and Pitt's win against FSU keeps them in the top 25 too.

Back to poll results >>