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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2025 Week 10

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 26, 2025, 7:32 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 10 notes: Navy still holding up all of the 2-loss teams except for TCU because of Deservedness. Methodology: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = Team A cannot be ranked over Team B that has 2+ fewer losses (ex: 9-3 LSU can be ranked over 10-2 Missouri, but 9-3 LSU cannot be ranked over 11-1 Tulane even if LSU beat Tulane heads up, rankings have LSU over Tulane, and/or I think LSU is better than Tulane) unless Team B is giving a X loss allowance to Team A due to significantly fewer P4 games played. Loss allowances come into play when: P5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 games, 10-8=2, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); P5 teams play 6 fewer P5 games than a G5 team (11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 teams, 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 teams, 8-2=6, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); G5 teams play 10 fewer P5 teams than a P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 10-0=0, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty); or G5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another G5 team (ex: 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 2-0=2, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty). If the game differential exceeds more than 2/6/10/2 in those scenarios, add another loss allowance for each additional P5 game played difference in that scenario.

Rank Team Reason
1 Indiana Hoosiers +0. Would be the #1 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #8 Virginia/#9 Vanderbilt in the Rose Bowl
2 Ohio State Buckeyes +0. Would be the #2 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #7 Ole Miss/#10 Louisville in the Orange Bowl
3 Texas A&M Aggies +0. Would be the #3 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #6 Georgia/#11 Texas A&M in the Sugar Bowl
4 Oregon Ducks +0. Would be the #4 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #5 Alabama/#12 Tulane in the Cotton Bowl
5 Alabama Crimson Tide +1. Would be the #5 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #12 Tulane in the first round. Week 1 head-to-head loss vs FSU devalued due to recent poor FSU and Virginia play
6 Georgia Bulldogs +1. Would be the #6 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #11 Texas Tech in the first round
7 Ole Miss Rebels +1. Would be the #7 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #10 Louisville in the first round
8 Virginia Cavaliers -3. Would be the #8 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #9 Vanderbilt in the first round. Head-to-head over FSU and subsequent transitive over Alabama devalued due to recent poor play
9 Vanderbilt Commodores +0. Would be the #9 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #8 Virginia in the first round
10 Louisville Cardinals +0. Would be the #10 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #7 Ole Miss in the first round
11 Miami Hurricanes +0
12 Texas Tech Red Raiders +2. Would be the #11 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #6 Georgia in the first round
13 Cincinnati Bearcats +2
14 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +2
15 BYU Cougars +2
16 Houston Cougars +3
17 TCU Horned Frogs +1. Loss allowance with Navy (11 P4 opponents vs 1)
18 Tulane Green Wave +2. Would be the #12 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #5 Alabama in the first round
19 Memphis Tigers +6
20 James Madison Dukes +1
21 San Diego State Aztecs +2
22 UNLV Rebels +2
23 North Texas Mean Green NEW
24 Navy Midshipmen NEW. Deservedness holding 2-loss teams without loss allowances such as Notre Dame behind 0-loss Navy
25 Notre Dame Fighting Irish NEW. Deservedness holding 2-loss teams without loss allowances such as Notre Dame behind 0-loss Navy

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