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NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2025 Week 10

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 26, 2025, 10:05 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes 2.426 [11.6 - 0.4]
2 Indiana Hoosiers 2.413 [11.7 - 0.3]
3 Alabama Crimson Tide 2.106 [10.3 - 1.7]
4 Texas A&M Aggies 2.103 [10.8 - 1.2]
5 Georgia Bulldogs 2.032 [9.9 - 2.1]
6 Ole Miss Rebels 1.875 [10.4 - 1.6]
7 BYU Cougars 1.724 [10.5 - 1.5]
8 Texas Longhorns 1.636 [8.4 - 3.6]
9 Vanderbilt Commodores 1.619 [9.2 - 2.8]
10 Oregon Ducks 1.591 [10.1 - 1.9]
11 Tennessee Volunteers 1.531 [8.9 - 3.1]
12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1.500 [9.7 - 2.3]
13 Miami Hurricanes 1.498 [10.0 - 2.0]
14 Oklahoma Sooners 1.475 [7.8 - 4.2]
15 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1.454 [10.4 - 1.6]
16 Missouri Tigers 1.364 [8.2 - 3.8]
17 Texas Tech Red Raiders 1.358 [9.9 - 2.1]
18 Utah Utes 1.272 [9.3 - 2.7]
19 LSU Tigers 1.205 [7.2 - 4.8]
20 Michigan Wolverines 1.149 [8.7 - 3.3]
21 USF Bulls 1.109 [9.5 - 2.5]
22 Cincinnati Bearcats 1.106 [8.7 - 3.3]
23 Washington Huskies 1.079 [8.8 - 3.2]
24 USC Trojans 1.067 [8.4 - 3.6]
25 Louisville Cardinals 1.042 [9.6 - 2.4]

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