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Pablo49 Ballot for 2025 Week 9

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 19, 2025, 10:25 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Each game, the winning team "steals" a portion of their opponents points. This starts with a base 40% of opponent's points, plus up to 10% bonus based on margin of victory and home/away status. This 40% base decreases as the weeks go on (down to 17.5% by postseason), this is done to limit large swings as the season progresses. The season is ran both forwards and backwards (For example on week 10, the poll calculates weeks 1->10 and then weeks 10->1) and then averages results. This limits being destroyed by a week 1 loss, and give some hindsight to early winners. Starting points are assigned as follows: P5: 500, G5: 400, FCS: 200. This is ranking the most "deserving" teams and not an attempt to rank the "best" teams or to be predictive. For example, being ranked above another team does not imply you are the better team or should beat a lower team, just that you had better performance in your season. I also try to keep parity between P4 and G6 to be pretty tight. While this is not a particularly statistical method, as the season develops the top 10 especially usually shake out pretty decently. In the 5 years I've ran this poll, I have often had similar top end of the poll to the CFB, with few exceptions.

Rank Team Reason
1 Indiana Hoosiers 1705
2 Ohio State Buckeyes 1623
3 Alabama Crimson Tide 1508 - I fixed the bug that made me rank them first last week lol. preseason calculations had a bug that made them look really good. I fixed that and made the poll look at only this year as we are on week 9 already.
4 Texas A&M Aggies 1360
5 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 1347
6 BYU Cougars 1234
7 Georgia Bulldogs 983
8 Louisville Cardinals 967
9 Ole Miss Rebels 953
10 Cincinnati Bearcats 886
11 Texas Tech Red Raiders 871
12 Navy Midshipmen 853
13 Virginia Cavaliers 852
14 USF Bulls 823
15 Arizona State Sun Devils 818
16 Miami Hurricanes 812
17 Oklahoma Sooners 800
18 Tulane Green Wave 800
19 Oregon Ducks 766
20 UNLV Rebels 713
21 Memphis Tigers 704
22 Vanderbilt Commodores 689
23 Michigan Wolverines 662
24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 657
25 North Texas Mean Green 656. Next 5: Illinois, TCU, James Madison, LSU, USC

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