/r/CFB Poll

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	2.376 [11.6 - 0.4]
2	Indiana Hoosiers	2.301 [11.6 - 0.4]
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	2.035 [10.1 - 1.9]
4	Georgia Bulldogs	1.952 [9.9 - 2.1]
5	Texas A&M Aggies	1.834 [10.1 - 1.9]
6	Ole Miss Rebels	1.725 [9.8 - 2.2]
7	Oregon Ducks	1.647 [10.3 - 1.7]
8	Oklahoma Sooners	1.583 [8.3 - 3.7]
9	Texas Longhorns	1.553 [8.2 - 3.8]
10	Missouri Tigers	1.522 [8.8 - 3.2]
11	Miami Hurricanes	1.514 [9.9 - 2.1]
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	1.500 [8.8 - 3.2]
13	BYU Cougars	1.500 [10.0 - 2.0]
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.489 [9.7 - 2.3]
15	Tennessee Volunteers	1.427 [8.5 - 3.5]
16	LSU Tigers	1.395 [7.9 - 4.1]
17	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1.326 [9.9 - 2.1]
18	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	1.310 [10.1 - 1.9]
19	USF Bulls	1.255 [10.0 - 2.0]
20	Utah Utes	1.152 [8.8 - 3.2]
21	Louisville Cardinals	1.121 [9.7 - 2.3]
22	Michigan Wolverines	1.111 [8.6 - 3.4]
23	USC Trojans	1.102 [8.4 - 3.6]
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	1.101 [8.4 - 3.6]
25	Cincinnati Bearcats	1.034 [8.4 - 3.6]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
2	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.17
4	Georgia Bulldogs	0.46
5	Texas A&M Aggies	-0.54
6	Ole Miss Rebels	0.69
7	Oregon Ducks	0.00
8	Oklahoma Sooners	0.89
9	Texas Longhorns	3.70
10	Missouri Tigers	0.67
11	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
12	Vanderbilt Commodores	0.00
13	BYU Cougars	-0.34
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
15	Tennessee Volunteers	0.66
16	LSU Tigers	1.33
17	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-0.52
18	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-1.94
19	USF Bulls	0.00
20	Utah Utes	1.12
21	Louisville Cardinals	-0.23
22	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
23	USC Trojans	0.00
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	0.00
25	Cincinnati Bearcats	-0.82

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Virginia Cavaliers	1.83
Arizona State Sun Devils	0.15

Total Score: 16.07

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NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2025 Week 9

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