Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 14, 2025, 3:40 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Sagarin, AOS, SOR, SP+ etc. aligned with more personal opinions (eye test)
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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Straightforward |
2 |
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^ |
3 |
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^ |
4 |
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One thing I would want to address, I’ve seen Oregon parlayed into “best win” territory by some posters. I don’t think it’s a better win than Notre Dame which is why they’re fourth. Oregon lacks a top 50 win and their marquee point was Penn State who was quickly collapsing. At this stage I wouldn’t be shocked to see them drop to UW/USC at years end because they just seem young at multiple spots across the board. |
5 |
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Probably over aggressive. This ranking relies on discounting FSU as a 2014 VT - Ohio State esque dud game opening the season. Three ranked opponents, all off byes, and now looking at the fourth so far. I’m going to reward three ranked wins and move them ahead of Ole Miss after the Wazzu game |
6 |
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Similar logic as above |
7 |
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Too many close games against subpar competition. I’m treating this poll closer to a college basketball mindset, I know they’re 6-0 but in good conscience I can’t rank them above Georgia. Especially when Georgia is the betting favorite |
8 |
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Defense is getting gashed and Miss State made it a fight. Hard to really say they’ve separated from Ole Miss when I’m seeing the same issues. |
9 |
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Straightforward - look at their win margin and who they lost to/ loss margin |
10 |
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Struggled with ducks versus LSU here. Leaned on SOR, 22 to 26. |
11 |
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See above |
12 |
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Common opponent in Kansas says they’re ahead of Mizzou. I’m just not sure what this team really is without the meat of their schedule so far |
13 |
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Straightforward - I do think they’re overranked relative to final landing spot |
14 |
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One point loss to Illinois, most explosive offense in the country. It’s closer to a flip between 14-16 here than any other spot |
15 |
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Straightforward - no marquee win but looked impressive on defense against Alabama |
16 |
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Michigan win doing some lifting here. Broader resume isn’t great |
17 |
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I would have them higher; but the dud game limits that. Let’s hope Bear had a one off performance |
18 |
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Ultimately just feels like a solid team across the board with a blegh QB |
19 |
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This is a new one - Probably over aggressive, but I like what I’m seeing from their QB. This tier is more chaos and close than the rest of the top 25 |
20 |
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Lacks a marquee win, iffy defense, I’d still say neck and neck with Nebraska |
21 |
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Not a big believer but they’re the least weak of the 21-25 range in terms of argument/resume. Still think they drop a few and this may be overtly high |
22 |
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FSU win doesn’t look great now - moved down a a result |
23 |
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Analytics love them |
24 |
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Still think there’s enough on this team to be better than they’ve been, especially with last years QB play |
25 |
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I hate the blowout loss. I hate the other options here. Best of the worst. Without leavett it’s hard to accurately gauge the ASU win, all I know is the defense looked abysmal for ASU. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.03 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.16 |
4 |
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-0.42 |
5 |
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0.29 |
6 |
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0.65 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.68 |
9 |
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1.00 |
10 |
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0.12 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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-2.26 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.36 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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-0.06 |
18 |
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0.73 |
19 |
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0.36 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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-0.01 |
23 |
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0.99 |
24 |
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0.82 |
25 |
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-0.44 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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0.72 |
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0.76 |
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0.33 |
Total Score: 11.20