Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 12, 2025, 3:12 p.m.
Overall Rationale: These rankings are a pure resume based points system. Teams are assigned a tier based on their rating (1-7). Points are gained for wins, subtracted for losses, based on the opponents tier. Small modifiers for game closeness (Win/Loss Bonuses/Penalties = WB, WP, LB, LP) and SOS based on Opponent's record. | If two teams are next to each other in the rankings, and have played head to head, the head to head winner will be ranked higher, regardless of points. | | | | Week 7 | Biggest Riser: Kennesaw State (+27) | Biggest Drop: Fresno State (-41) | New teams: Notre Dame, Utah, Tennessee, USF | Dropped from rankings: Oklahoma (7), Missouri (8), Michigan (14), North Texas (19) | Next 5: Missouri, Virginia, Louisville, Houston, Oklahoma | Worst Team Eastern Michigan (-156.429) | | | | Playoff projections *Conference Autobid | | Rose: 1. Indiana* | Sugar: 4. Texas A&M* | Cotton: 3. Texas Tech* | Orange: 2. Ohio State | 5 v 12: 12. USC @ 5. Miami (FL)* | 6 v 11: 11. Georgia Tech @ 6. Ole Miss | 7 v 10: 10. Georgia @ 7. Alabama | 8 v 9: 9. BYU @ 8. Memphis* | | | |
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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Indiana has a huge victory this week. Their wins over Illinois |Tier 3|, Iowa |4|, and Oregon |3| looking the best out of anyone right now. Their opponent win percentage of 71% is also incredibly high, the 2nd highest of any ranked team. |
2 |
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Texas |4| win looks much better thanks to their big win this week. Wins over Washington |3| and Illinois |3| also looking really good. |
3 |
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Quality wins over Utah |3|, Houston |3|, and Kansas |4| look really good, aided by the fact that they blew out every one of these teams. |
4 |
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Notre Dame |3| is their best win, with other quality wins coming from Auburn |4| and Mississippi State |4|. |
5 |
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Quality wins over Notre Dame |3|, USF |3|, and Florida State |4|. Already having 2 byes will allow them to climb the next couple weeks if they keep winning. |
6 |
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LSU |3| and Tulane |4| are the only quality wins so far, and they have had way too many close games to trust this team. Game against Georgia this week and Oklahoma the next week will define their season. |
7 |
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The highest ranked 1 loss team, their loss to Florida State |4| continues to look worse and worse. But they have 3 great wins over Georgia |2|, Vanderbilt |3|, and Mizzou |3|. Lots of big games left on the schedule with 4 of their 6 opponents tier 3 or 4. |
8 |
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Playing well and avoiding close games. Best wins are Troy |5| and Arkansas |5|. Also have a laughably low opponent win % of 40%. They have 3 quality opponents left on the schedule to prove themselves. |
9 |
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Picked up a big win over Arizona |4|, which is their best win of the year. Schedule gets very difficult from here on out, with Utah |3|, Iowa State |4|, and Texas Tech |1| the next 3 games. |
10 |
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Quality wins over Tennessee |3| and Auburn |4| with a loss to Alabama |2|. Big game this week against Ole Miss |2|. |
11 |
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Only 1 quality win so far, which is Wake Forest |4|. A very weak schedule that might leave them out of the playoff if they drop more than 1 game. |
12 |
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Got a much needed quality win over Michigan |4|, currently their only one. Loss to Illinois |3| continues to look okay. Lots of big games remaining this year. |
13 |
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Hilariously, their best win on the year is Louisiana Tech |4|, since Clemson |5| and Florida |5| both look bad. They only have 1 game remaining against a team outside tier 4 or higher. |
14 |
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They pick up their best win of the year over Temple |5|. But they've played lots of close games. A single loss will send them tumbling. They boast the 2nd worst opponent win % of any ranked team at 35%. |
15 |
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Also a team searching for a quality win. Their best wins are South Carolina |5| and Utah State |5|. |
16 |
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The ranked team with the toughest schedule so far, their opponents boasting a 73% win percentage. Also the highest ranked 2 loss team. Quality wins over Duke |4| and USC |2|, with a pair of Tier 1 losses to Indiana and Ohio State. But both those losses being blowouts is not encouraging. |
17 |
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After starting the year with back to back close losses from Miami (FL) |2| and Texas A&M |1|, they've played much better. But their best wins are all tier 5. USC |2| this week and Navy |3| week 11 are the only remaining games of any difficulty left. Any loss ends all playoff dreams. |
18 |
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Only one quality win over Maryland |4|. Next two games against Michigan |4| and Illinois |3| will mean a lot, and be only other challenging games until Oregon |3| at the end of year. |
19 |
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The team with the lowest opponent win % of any FBS team at 30%. Zero quality wins to speak of. UCLA |6| is probably their best win. Not a single quality opponent sits on their schedule, any loss will end their playoff hopes. |
20 |
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Picked up their best win of the year over Arizona State |5|. But a pair of tough games coming up against BYU |2| and Cincinnati |3|. |
21 |
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Best win is Mississippi State |4|. Huge game against Alabama |2| this week and Oklahoma |3| in 3 weeks. |
22 |
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Oregon lacks any quality wins right now. Penn State |5| and Northwestern |5| are their only wins that aren't tier 7. Next tough game will be Iowa |4| week 11. |
23 |
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The loss to Nebraska |3| to start the year keeps looking better, and they have picked up solid wins over Kansas |4| and Iowa State |4|. |
24 |
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Finds themselves ranked again for the first time since beating Florida |5|. The win over North Texas |4| looks great, but they'll need UNT to keep winning. Memphis |2| and Navy |3| remain on the schedule. |
25 |
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Holds onto their 25 spot, but back to back close wins don't look great. The Cincinnati |3| win continues to look good, and for now Maryland |4| is a quality win. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
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1 |
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0.14 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.62 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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-0.09 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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1.42 |
9 |
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0.20 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.83 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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2.43 |
15 |
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0.17 |
16 |
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1.56 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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0.65 |
19 |
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1.02 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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-1.06 |
22 |
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-2.13 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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-0.27 |
25 |
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0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
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1.36 |
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1.40 |
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1.02 |
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0.16 |
Total Score: 16.52