Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 12, 2025, 10:28 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	2.371 [11.5 - 0.5]
2	Indiana Hoosiers	2.354 [11.6 - 0.4]
3	Ole Miss Rebels	1.895 [10.3 - 1.7]
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	1.893 [9.7 - 2.3]
5	Miami Hurricanes	1.890 [10.9 - 1.1]
6	Georgia Bulldogs	1.798 [9.5 - 2.5]
7	Texas A&M Aggies	1.757 [9.7 - 2.3]
8	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1.636 [10.8 - 1.2]
9	LSU Tigers	1.571 [8.5 - 3.5]
10	Oregon Ducks	1.531 [9.9 - 2.1]
11	Tennessee Volunteers	1.499 [8.9 - 3.1]
12	Texas Longhorns	1.486 [8.1 - 3.9]
13	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.471 [9.5 - 2.5]
14	Oklahoma Sooners	1.428 [7.6 - 4.4]
15	Missouri Tigers	1.374 [8.3 - 3.7]
16	BYU Cougars	1.371 [9.5 - 2.5]
17	Vanderbilt Commodores	1.361 [8.2 - 3.8]
18	Utah Utes	1.306 [9.4 - 2.6]
19	USF Bulls	1.290 [9.8 - 2.2]
20	Memphis Tigers	1.272 [10.5 - 1.5]
21	Washington Huskies	1.235 [9.1 - 2.9]
22	Illinois Fighting Illini	1.195 [8.3 - 3.7]
23	USC Trojans	1.160 [8.6 - 3.4]
24	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	1.081 [9.5 - 2.5]
25	Florida Gators	1.026 [4.9 - 7.1]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.03
2	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
3	Ole Miss Rebels	0.70
4	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.67
5	Miami Hurricanes	-0.09
6	Georgia Bulldogs	0.65
7	Texas A&M Aggies	-0.62
8	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-0.31
9	LSU Tigers	0.36
10	Oregon Ducks	0.00
11	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
12	Texas Longhorns	2.53
13	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.25
14	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
15	Missouri Tigers	0.00
16	BYU Cougars	0.00
17	Vanderbilt Commodores	0.00
18	Utah Utes	0.00
19	USF Bulls	0.00
20	Memphis Tigers	0.00
21	Washington Huskies	0.00
22	Illinois Fighting Illini	0.00
23	USC Trojans	-0.26
24	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-2.47
25	Florida Gators	0.17

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Virginia Cavaliers	1.02
Cincinnati Bearcats	0.33
Nebraska Cornhuskers	0.24

Total Score: 10.69