Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 12, 2025, 10:16 a.m.
Overall Rationale: I have made my own ELO-rating system (similar to chess) for college football. Only final scores are considered in the ratings. W-L records do not matter. Margin of victory matters. My code is on github here: https://github.com/kyleaforrester/cfb_elo Losing to a good team might actually improve your rating if you played them close enough. Beating a bad team with a slim margin might drop your rating if your margin of victory isn't good enough. I don't care about the end W-L result or the W-L team records, just how each team performs when compared to what was expected of them.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
440 Elo - Win against Illinois was about what was expected of them. -5 rating drop |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
329 Elo - Win at Oregon was unexpectedly good and a big boost. 49 rating increase. |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
320 Elo - Loss to Indiana dropped them a lot of points, but they had so many banked that it doesnt affect their ranking much. -49 rating drop. |
| 4 |
Texas Longhorns
|
301 Elo - Dominant defense vs Oklahoma leads to a strong win and a good rating increase. 29 rating boost. |
| 5 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
283 Elo - No change since Florida State game |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
277 Elo - Win at Auburn was slightly better than expected. 18 rating increase. |
| 7 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
275 Elo - Dominant performance vs NC State was already expected. 5 rating increase. |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
268 Elo - Win at Missouri was a little closer than expected. -3 rating drop. |
| 9 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
266 Elo - Win vs Kansas was more dominant than expected. 16 rating increase. |
| 10 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
253 Elo - No change since Alabama game |
| 11 |
LSU Tigers
|
235 Elo - Win vs South Carolina was about as expected. Only 4 rating increase. |
| 12 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
217 Elo - Win vs Washington State was way closer than expected. Sloppy win. -36 rating drop. |
| 13 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
212 Elo - Win vs Florida better than expected. 15 rating increase. |
| 14 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
207 Elo - Win at Wisconsin was really really good. A shutout, which means they got as many points as this game was eligible for. 34 rating increase. |
| 15 |
USC Trojans
|
201 Elo - Win vs Michigan a lot better than expected. 26 rating increase. |
| 16 |
Utah Utes
|
190 Elo - Win vs Arizona State much better than expected. 49 rating increase. |
| 17 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
186 Elo - Win vs Arkansas was way too close. -23 rating drop. |
| 18 |
Missouri Tigers
|
182 Elo - Loss vs Alabama was closer than expected. 3 rating increase. |
| 19 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
179 Elo - Loss vs Northwestern was very close and could have gone either way. Unfortunately Northwestern is not a good team so Penn State loses a lot of points for a close game. -50 rating drop. |
| 20 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
170 Elo - Ugly loss vs Texas. -34 rating drop. |
| 21 |
BYU Cougars
|
169 Elo - Win at Arizona was slightly closer than it should have been. -4 rating drop. |
| 22 |
Washington Huskies
|
160 Elo - Win vs Rutgers better than expected. 15 rating increase. |
| 23 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
156 Elo - Loss vs Ohio State was a little closer than expected. 4 rating increase. |
| 24 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
154 Elo - No change since Cal game |
| 25 |
Auburn Tigers
|
149 Elo - Loss vs Georgia was not good. Almost unranked now. -16 rating drop. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.03 |
| 2 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.85 |
| 4 |
Texas Longhorns
|
4.92 |
| 5 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
-0.09 |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.65 |
| 7 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
1.37 |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
-0.80 |
| 10 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
1.46 |
| 11 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-2.60 |
| 13 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-4.05 |
| 14 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
11.16 |
| 15 |
USC Trojans
|
0.12 |
| 16 |
Utah Utes
|
0.11 |
| 17 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
-0.06 |
| 18 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
6.23 |
| 20 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
BYU Cougars
|
-0.95 |
| 22 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
1.16 |
| 25 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.25 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
2.97 |
Memphis Tigers
|
0.72 |
Virginia Cavaliers
|
1.02 |
USF Bulls
|
0.76 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.33 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
0.24 |
Total Score: 42.90