Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 12, 2025, 10:16 a.m.
Overall Rationale: I have made my own ELO-rating system (similar to chess) for college football. Only final scores are considered in the ratings. W-L records do not matter. Margin of victory matters. My code is on github here: https://github.com/kyleaforrester/cfb_elo Losing to a good team might actually improve your rating if you played them close enough. Beating a bad team with a slim margin might drop your rating if your margin of victory isn't good enough. I don't care about the end W-L result or the W-L team records, just how each team performs when compared to what was expected of them.
| Rank | Team | Reason | 
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Ohio State Buckeyes
                                        
                                     | 
                                    440 Elo - Win against Illinois was about what was expected of them. -5 rating drop | 
| 2 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Indiana Hoosiers
                                        
                                     | 
                                    329 Elo - Win at Oregon was unexpectedly good and a big boost. 49 rating increase. | 
| 3 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Oregon Ducks
                                        
                                     | 
                                    320 Elo - Loss to Indiana dropped them a lot of points, but they had so many banked that it doesnt affect their ranking much. -49 rating drop. | 
| 4 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Texas Longhorns
                                        
                                     | 
                                    301 Elo - Dominant defense vs Oklahoma leads to a strong win and a good rating increase. 29 rating boost. | 
| 5 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Miami Hurricanes
                                        
                                     | 
                                    283 Elo - No change since Florida State game | 
| 6 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Georgia Bulldogs
                                        
                                     | 
                                    277 Elo - Win at Auburn was slightly better than expected. 18 rating increase. | 
| 7 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Notre Dame Fighting Irish
                                        
                                     | 
                                    275 Elo - Dominant performance vs NC State was already expected. 5 rating increase. | 
| 8 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Alabama Crimson Tide
                                        
                                     | 
                                    268 Elo - Win at Missouri was a little closer than expected. -3 rating drop. | 
| 9 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Texas Tech Red Raiders
                                        
                                     | 
                                    266 Elo - Win vs Kansas was more dominant than expected. 16 rating increase. | 
| 10 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Vanderbilt Commodores
                                        
                                     | 
                                    253 Elo - No change since Alabama game | 
| 11 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        LSU Tigers
                                        
                                     | 
                                    235 Elo - Win vs South Carolina was about as expected. Only 4 rating increase. | 
| 12 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Ole Miss Rebels
                                        
                                     | 
                                    217 Elo - Win vs Washington State was way closer than expected. Sloppy win. -36 rating drop. | 
| 13 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Texas A&M Aggies
                                        
                                     | 
                                    212 Elo - Win vs Florida better than expected. 15 rating increase. | 
| 14 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Iowa Hawkeyes
                                        
                                     | 
                                    207 Elo - Win at Wisconsin was really really good. A shutout, which means they got as many points as this game was eligible for. 34 rating increase. | 
| 15 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        USC Trojans
                                        
                                     | 
                                    201 Elo - Win vs Michigan a lot better than expected. 26 rating increase. | 
| 16 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Utah Utes
                                        
                                     | 
                                    190 Elo - Win vs Arizona State much better than expected. 49 rating increase. | 
| 17 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Tennessee Volunteers
                                        
                                     | 
                                    186 Elo - Win vs Arkansas was way too close. -23 rating drop. | 
| 18 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Missouri Tigers
                                        
                                     | 
                                    182 Elo - Loss vs Alabama was closer than expected. 3 rating increase. | 
| 19 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Penn State Nittany Lions
                                        
                                     | 
                                    179 Elo - Loss vs Northwestern was very close and could have gone either way. Unfortunately Northwestern is not a good team so Penn State loses a lot of points for a close game. -50 rating drop. | 
| 20 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Oklahoma Sooners
                                        
                                     | 
                                    170 Elo - Ugly loss vs Texas. -34 rating drop. | 
| 21 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        BYU Cougars
                                        
                                     | 
                                    169 Elo - Win at Arizona was slightly closer than it should have been. -4 rating drop. | 
| 22 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Washington Huskies
                                        
                                     | 
                                    160 Elo - Win vs Rutgers better than expected. 15 rating increase. | 
| 23 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Illinois Fighting Illini
                                        
                                     | 
                                    156 Elo - Loss vs Ohio State was a little closer than expected. 4 rating increase. | 
| 24 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Duke Blue Devils
                                        
                                     | 
                                    154 Elo - No change since Cal game | 
| 25 | 
                                        
                                        
                                             
                                        
                                        Auburn Tigers
                                        
                                     | 
                                    149 Elo - Loss vs Georgia was not good. Almost unranked now. -16 rating drop. | 
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness | 
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Ohio State Buckeyes
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.03 | 
| 2 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Indiana Hoosiers
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.00 | 
| 3 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Oregon Ducks
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.85 | 
| 4 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Texas Longhorns
                                            
                                         | 
                                        4.92 | 
| 5 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Miami Hurricanes
                                            
                                         | 
                                        -0.09 | 
| 6 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Georgia Bulldogs
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.65 | 
| 7 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Notre Dame Fighting Irish
                                            
                                         | 
                                        1.37 | 
| 8 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Alabama Crimson Tide
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.00 | 
| 9 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Texas Tech Red Raiders
                                            
                                         | 
                                        -0.80 | 
| 10 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Vanderbilt Commodores
                                            
                                         | 
                                        1.46 | 
| 11 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            LSU Tigers
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.00 | 
| 12 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Ole Miss Rebels
                                            
                                         | 
                                        -2.60 | 
| 13 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Texas A&M Aggies
                                            
                                         | 
                                        -4.05 | 
| 14 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Iowa Hawkeyes
                                            
                                         | 
                                        11.16 | 
| 15 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            USC Trojans
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.12 | 
| 16 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Utah Utes
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.11 | 
| 17 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Tennessee Volunteers
                                            
                                         | 
                                        -0.06 | 
| 18 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Missouri Tigers
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.00 | 
| 19 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Penn State Nittany Lions
                                            
                                         | 
                                        6.23 | 
| 20 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Oklahoma Sooners
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.00 | 
| 21 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            BYU Cougars
                                            
                                         | 
                                        -0.95 | 
| 22 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Washington Huskies
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.00 | 
| 23 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Illinois Fighting Illini
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.00 | 
| 24 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Duke Blue Devils
                                            
                                         | 
                                        1.16 | 
| 25 | 
                                            
                                            
                                                 
                                            
                                            Auburn Tigers
                                            
                                         | 
                                        0.25 | 
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness | 
|---|---|
                                                
                                                
                                                     
                                                
                                                Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
                                                
                                             | 
                                            2.97 | 
                                                
                                                
                                                     
                                                
                                                Memphis Tigers
                                                
                                             | 
                                            0.72 | 
                                                
                                                
                                                     
                                                
                                                Virginia Cavaliers
                                                
                                             | 
                                            1.02 | 
                                                
                                                
                                                     
                                                
                                                USF Bulls
                                                
                                             | 
                                            0.76 | 
                                                
                                                
                                                     
                                                
                                                Cincinnati Bearcats
                                                
                                             | 
                                            0.33 | 
                                                
                                                
                                                     
                                                
                                                Nebraska Cornhuskers
                                                
                                             | 
                                            0.24 | 
Total Score: 42.90