Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 5, 2025, 9:50 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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1.996 [11.2 - 0.8] |
2 |
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1.927 [10.6 - 1.4] |
3 |
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1.757 [10.9 - 1.1] |
4 |
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1.752 [9.4 - 2.6] |
5 |
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1.748 [10.8 - 1.2] |
6 |
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1.724 [10.9 - 1.1] |
7 |
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1.550 [9.0 - 3.0] |
8 |
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1.545 [9.3 - 2.7] |
9 |
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1.498 [8.1 - 3.9] |
10 |
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1.468 [8.4 - 3.6] |
11 |
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1.398 [8.6 - 3.4] |
12 |
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1.381 [8.8 - 3.2] |
13 |
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1.303 [8.3 - 3.7] |
14 |
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1.294 [9.4 - 2.6] |
15 |
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1.224 [10.1 - 1.9] |
16 |
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1.209 [7.6 - 4.4] |
17 |
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1.183 [9.4 - 2.6] |
18 |
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1.179 [8.7 - 3.3] |
19 |
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1.099 [8.4 - 3.6] |
20 |
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1.089 [10.5 - 1.5] |
21 |
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1.074 [8.5 - 3.5] |
22 |
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0.998 [8.2 - 3.8] |
23 |
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0.991 [6.7 - 5.3] |
24 |
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0.936 [5.1 - 6.9] |
25 |
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0.935 [8.6 - 3.4] |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.94 |
3 |
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0.36 |
4 |
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0.98 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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-1.18 |
7 |
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0.67 |
8 |
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-0.12 |
9 |
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-0.25 |
10 |
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0.56 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.01 |
13 |
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0.91 |
14 |
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0.67 |
15 |
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-1.42 |
16 |
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8.73 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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1.66 |
22 |
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0.37 |
23 |
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2.05 |
24 |
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1.22 |
25 |
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0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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2.11 |
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0.99 |
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0.37 |
![]() |
0.33 |
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0.17 |
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0.02 |
Total Score: 26.09