Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 5, 2025, 9:50 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
1.996 [11.2 - 0.8] |
| 2 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
1.927 [10.6 - 1.4] |
| 3 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
1.757 [10.9 - 1.1] |
| 4 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
1.752 [9.4 - 2.6] |
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
1.748 [10.8 - 1.2] |
| 6 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
1.724 [10.9 - 1.1] |
| 7 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
1.550 [9.0 - 3.0] |
| 8 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
1.545 [9.3 - 2.7] |
| 9 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
1.498 [8.1 - 3.9] |
| 10 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.468 [8.4 - 3.6] |
| 11 |
Missouri Tigers
|
1.398 [8.6 - 3.4] |
| 12 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
1.381 [8.8 - 3.2] |
| 13 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
1.303 [8.3 - 3.7] |
| 14 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
1.294 [9.4 - 2.6] |
| 15 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
1.224 [10.1 - 1.9] |
| 16 |
Texas Longhorns
|
1.209 [7.6 - 4.4] |
| 17 |
BYU Cougars
|
1.183 [9.4 - 2.6] |
| 18 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
1.179 [8.7 - 3.3] |
| 19 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
1.099 [8.4 - 3.6] |
| 20 |
Memphis Tigers
|
1.089 [10.5 - 1.5] |
| 21 |
Washington Huskies
|
1.074 [8.5 - 3.5] |
| 22 |
USC Trojans
|
0.998 [8.2 - 3.8] |
| 23 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.991 [6.7 - 5.3] |
| 24 |
Florida Gators
|
0.936 [5.1 - 6.9] |
| 25 |
Utah Utes
|
0.935 [8.6 - 3.4] |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.94 |
| 3 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.36 |
| 4 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.98 |
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
-1.18 |
| 7 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.67 |
| 8 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-0.12 |
| 9 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
-0.25 |
| 10 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.56 |
| 11 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.01 |
| 13 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
0.91 |
| 14 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.67 |
| 15 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
-1.42 |
| 16 |
Texas Longhorns
|
8.73 |
| 17 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Memphis Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Washington Huskies
|
1.66 |
| 22 |
USC Trojans
|
0.37 |
| 23 |
Auburn Tigers
|
2.05 |
| 24 |
Florida Gators
|
1.22 |
| 25 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
2.11 |
Virginia Cavaliers
|
0.99 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
0.37 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
0.33 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.17 |
North Texas Mean Green
|
0.02 |
Total Score: 26.09