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NotSoSuperNerd Ballot for 2025 Week 7

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 5, 2025, 9:50 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes 1.996 [11.2 - 0.8]
2 Ole Miss Rebels 1.927 [10.6 - 1.4]
3 Indiana Hoosiers 1.757 [10.9 - 1.1]
4 Alabama Crimson Tide 1.752 [9.4 - 2.6]
5 Oregon Ducks 1.748 [10.8 - 1.2]
6 Miami Hurricanes 1.724 [10.9 - 1.1]
7 Georgia Bulldogs 1.550 [9.0 - 3.0]
8 Texas A&M Aggies 1.545 [9.3 - 2.7]
9 Oklahoma Sooners 1.498 [8.1 - 3.9]
10 LSU Tigers 1.468 [8.4 - 3.6]
11 Missouri Tigers 1.398 [8.6 - 3.4]
12 Tennessee Volunteers 1.381 [8.8 - 3.2]
13 Vanderbilt Commodores 1.303 [8.3 - 3.7]
14 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1.294 [9.4 - 2.6]
15 Texas Tech Red Raiders 1.224 [10.1 - 1.9]
16 Texas Longhorns 1.209 [7.6 - 4.4]
17 BYU Cougars 1.183 [9.4 - 2.6]
18 Michigan Wolverines 1.179 [8.7 - 3.3]
19 Illinois Fighting Illini 1.099 [8.4 - 3.6]
20 Memphis Tigers 1.089 [10.5 - 1.5]
21 Washington Huskies 1.074 [8.5 - 3.5]
22 USC Trojans 0.998 [8.2 - 3.8]
23 Auburn Tigers 0.991 [6.7 - 5.3]
24 Florida Gators 0.936 [5.1 - 6.9]
25 Utah Utes 0.935 [8.6 - 3.4]

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