Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 21, 2025, 11:51 a.m.

Overall Rationale: My computer poll, that assesses the most deserving teams based on how likely a "top 12 team" would have a record equal to or better than them. Note: Formula is very messy early in the season due to there being no priors.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Florida State Seminoles	6.16%
2	Indiana Hoosiers	17.13%
3	Miami Hurricanes	27.76%
4	Texas A&M Aggies	28.75%
5	Missouri Tigers	40.32%
6	Vanderbilt Commodores	48.71%
7	Ole Miss Rebels	50.59%
8	Oklahoma Sooners	54.25%
9	Memphis Tigers	60.61%
10	Mississippi State Bulldogs	71.90%
11	Ohio State Buckeyes	74.88%
12	North Texas Mean Green	76.28%
13	LSU Tigers	78.02%
14	Georgia Bulldogs	78.78%
15	Maryland Terrapins	79.61%
16	USC Trojans	80.08%
17	Iowa State Cyclones	80.25%
18	Washington Huskies	82.85%
19	Texas Tech Red Raiders	83.06%
20	Old Dominion Monarchs	84.36%
21	Arizona Wildcats	84.65%
22	Michigan Wolverines	85.36%
23	Alabama Crimson Tide	85.52%
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	86.34%
25	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	86.76%

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Florida State Seminoles	1.03
2	Indiana Hoosiers	0.99
3	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
4	Texas A&M Aggies	0.97
5	Missouri Tigers	1.59
6	Vanderbilt Commodores	1.88
7	Ole Miss Rebels	0.27
8	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
9	Memphis Tigers	4.61
10	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1.95
11	Ohio State Buckeyes	-1.30
12	North Texas Mean Green	8.20
13	LSU Tigers	-0.28
14	Georgia Bulldogs	-1.62
15	Maryland Terrapins	4.16
16	USC Trojans	0.00
17	Iowa State Cyclones	0.00
18	Washington Huskies	3.30
19	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-0.98
20	Old Dominion Monarchs	5.19
21	Arizona Wildcats	3.88
22	Michigan Wolverines	0.00
23	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
24	Illinois Fighting Illini	0.00
25	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-1.45

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Oregon Ducks	3.94
Penn State Nittany Lions	2.45
Texas Longhorns	0.94
Tennessee Volunteers	1.15
TCU Horned Frogs	0.39
BYU Cougars	0.15

Total Score: 52.67